Author: Martin Schubert
Date: 14:46:13 06/11/01
Go up one level in this thread
On June 11, 2001 at 13:55:31, Gian-Carlo Pascutto wrote: >On June 11, 2001 at 13:36:21, Leen Ammeraal wrote: > >>Although Peter's program can in many ways be better >>than mine, I don't see how it can be more accurate, >>that is, as long as we regard, for example, >>10-5-0 as equivalent to 8-3-4. As you see, I simply >>divide the number of draws by 2 and add the result >>to either side. > >It is more accurate simply because it does not have >to do that simplification at all! > >10 - 5 - 0 -> 89,4% chance that A is better >8 - 3 - 4 -> 92,7% chance Why do you get different probabilities for the same score? Martin > >>Would that be discutable, you think? > >Appearently it is, as it gives different results. > >>If you do, which of these two results would you >>prefer? > >I'm not sure I got the question, but 8-3-4 gives >more information than merging it into 10-5. Also, >it tells use more about the relative strengths. > >I am not going to discuss the actual statistics done >by the program, because I did not wrote the program >nor do I understand the underlying issues enough to be >confident discussing it. > >-- >GCP
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