Author: Peter Fendrich
Date: 03:16:58 06/12/01
Go up one level in this thread
On June 11, 2001 at 12:37:37, Gian-Carlo Pascutto wrote: >On June 11, 2001 at 12:34:54, Gian-Carlo Pascutto wrote: > >>On June 11, 2001 at 11:27:21, Peter Fendrich wrote: >> >>>Your 100-game example is OK of course but the table covered also as few as 10 >>>games. >> >>Actually, the 55-45 example doesn't match up with the table. >> >>I verified it with your program and in a worse-case-scenario >>(all decisive results) a 56-46 result gives a probability of >>88%, which is well below the 95% that Bas suggests. > >Bas wrote: > >Therefore the noise window is [45, 55] with 95% confidence. > >Since sigma is 5 and the window is with 2*sigma, this should >be: > >Therefore the noise window is [40, 60] with 95% confidence. > >Which is very close to what the table suggests. > >-- >GCP Yes, right. I'm too lazy to verify figures! What I meant was that 100 games is enough if you want to approximate with the Normal distr. //Peter
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