Computer Chess Club Archives


Search

Terms

Messages

Subject: Re: Why GM Ashley was picked.

Author: Côme

Date: 12:37:31 06/20/01

Go up one level in this thread


On June 20, 2001 at 15:23:56, Dann Corbit wrote:

>On June 20, 2001 at 15:06:51, Côme wrote:
>
>>On June 20, 2001 at 13:38:23, Dann Corbit wrote:
>>
>>>On June 20, 2001 at 13:08:10, Mark Young wrote:
>>>[snip]
>>>>Not by me, I don't have a problem with him being a GM, He teaches me chess on
>>>>chess wise. I am not the one who has a problem with a 2484 elo GM, It was not I
>>>>that suggest GM's are not GM's because they don't have a super high rating or
>>>>because they are old.
>>>
>>>However, when they are old, it really does become more and more of a "paper
>>>title" -- let's admit it.  There is a huge inertia in ELO calculations.  If you
>>>play ten years, starting when you are ten years old, even if you are a prodigy,
>>>it is doubtful you will start out above 1800.  So, over a broad span of time,
>>>your ELO figures in thousands of games at below (say) 2200.  Imagine the
>>>incredible performance you must achieve to pull the ELO over 2500!  You must
>>>play tremendous chess for a very long time to do it.  Now, examine the reverse
>>>side of the coin.  Suppose you are a super GM who has played for decades.  Maybe
>>>for 20 years your ELO was over 2600.  If your ELO is now at 2495, it means you
>>>are playing 1800 chess.
>>
>>Hello !
>>That is nonsense Dann and I hope you realise. A past 2600 player who have now
>>2495 doesn't play 1800 chess.All your paragraphe is nonsense may be you should
>>play chess before talking about it.
>
>Sorry, but those are the facts.  Suppose a super GM of 2600 ELO plays in a big
>tournament and scores just 1% of the points.  That's a rating difference of 800
>ELO.  2600-800 = 1800.  Here are the computations:
>
>#include <stdio.h>
>#include <math.h>
>#include "uscf.h"
>
>double          provisional_rating(
>                                             double opponent_average_rating,
>                                                   unsigned wins,
>                                                   unsigned draws,
>                                                   unsigned losses
>)
>{
>    double          new_rating;
>    if (wins + draws + losses == 0)
>        new_rating = 0.;
>    else
>        new_rating = opponent_average_rating +
>            (400.0 * ((wins + 0.5 * draws) - (0.5 * draws + losses)) /
>             (wins + draws + losses));
>    return (double) (unsigned) (new_rating + 0.5);
>}
>double          established_rating(
>                                                   double old_rating,
>                                                   double event_score,
>                                                   double rating_difference,
>                                                   char half_k_event,
>                                                   double prize_amount,
>                                                   unsigned event_level
>)
>{
>    double          rating;
>    double          k = old_rating >= 2400.0 ? 16.0 : old_rating >= 2100.0 ?
>24.0 : 32.0;
>    if (half_k_event)
>        k *= 0.5;
>    rating = old_rating + k * (event_score - win_expectancy(rating_difference));
>    if (old_rating <= 2099.0 &&
>        rating >= 2100.0 &&
>        rating <= 2399.0)
>        rating = 2100.0 + (rating - 2100.0) * 0.75;
>    else if (old_rating >= 2100.0 &&
>             old_rating <= 2399.0 &&
>             rating <= 2099.0)
>        rating = 2100.0 * (rating - 2100.0) * 1.33;
>    else if (old_rating >= 2100.0 &&
>             old_rating <= 2399.0 &&
>             rating >= 2400.0 &&
>             rating <= 3000.0)
>        rating = 2400.0 * (rating - 2400.0) * 0.66;
>    else if (old_rating >= 2400.0 &&
>             old_rating <= 3000.0 &&
>             rating >= 2100.0 &&
>             rating <= 2399.0)
>        rating = 2400.0 * (rating - 2400.0) * 1.50;
>    return rating_floor_adj(old_rating, rating, prize_amount, event_level);
>}
>double          win_expectancy(
>                                               double rating_difference
>)
>{
>    return 1.0 / (pow(10.0, (rating_difference / 400.0)) + 1.);
>}
>double          rating_floor_adj(
>                                                 double old_rating,
>                                                 double new_rating,
>                                                 double prize_amount,
>                                                 unsigned event_level
>)
>{
>    char            large_cash_prize = 0;
>    double          temp_floor = old_rating - 200.0;
>    unsigned        ltf = ((unsigned) (temp_floor)) % 100UL * 100UL;
>    if (old_rating >= 2400 || old_rating <= 100)
>        return new_rating;
>    if (old_rating < 1600)
>        ltf = 100;
>    if (old_rating < 2200 && prize_amount >= 1000)
>        large_cash_prize = 1;
>    else if (old_rating < 2300 && prize_amount >= 1500)
>        large_cash_prize = 1;
>    else if (old_rating < 2400 && prize_amount >= 2000)
>        large_cash_prize = 1;
>    if (large_cash_prize)
>        ltf = event_level;
>    return ltf > new_rating ? (double) ltf : new_rating;
>}
>unsigned long   rating_floor(
>                                             double old_rating,
>                                             double new_rating,
>                                             double prize_amount,
>                                             unsigned event_level
>)
>{
>    char            large_cash_prize = 0;
>    unsigned        floor_value = (((unsigned) (old_rating - 200)) % 100U) *
>100U;
>    if (old_rating >= 2400 || old_rating <= 100)
>        return (unsigned long) (new_rating + 0.5);
>    if (old_rating < 1600)
>        floor_value = 100;
>    if (old_rating < 2200 && prize_amount >= 1000)
>        large_cash_prize = 1;
>    else if (old_rating < 2300 && prize_amount >= 1500)
>        large_cash_prize = 1;
>    else if (old_rating < 2400 && prize_amount >= 2000)
>        large_cash_prize = 1;
>    if (large_cash_prize)
>        floor_value = event_level;
>    return floor_value;
>}
>const char     *
>                describe_uscf_rating(
>                                                     unsigned rating
>)
>{
>    char           *rating_name;
>    if (rating > 2399)
>        rating_name = "Senior Master";
>    else if (rating >= 2200)
>        rating_name = "Master";
>    else if (rating >= 2000)
>        rating_name = "Expert";
>    else if (rating >= 1800)
>        rating_name = "Class A";
>    else if (rating >= 1600)
>        rating_name = "Class B";
>    else if (rating >= 1400)
>        rating_name = "Class C";
>    else if (rating >= 1200)
>        rating_name = "Class D";
>    else if (rating >= 1000)
>        rating_name = "Class E";
>    else if (rating >= 800)
>        rating_name = "Class F";
>    else if (rating >= 600)
>        rating_name = "Class G";
>    else if (rating >= 400)
>        rating_name = "Class H";
>    else if (rating >= 200)
>        rating_name = "Class I";
>    else
>        rating_name = "Class J";
>    return rating_name;
>}
>char            string[32767];
>int             main(void)
>{
>    double          old_rating = 2600;
>    double          event_score = .01;
>    double          rating_difference = 100;
>    char            half_k_event = 0;
>    double          prize_amount = 100000;
>    unsigned        event_level = 2500;
>    printf("%f\n", established_rating(
>                                      old_rating,
>                                      event_score,
>                                      rating_difference,
>                                      half_k_event,
>                                      prize_amount,
>                                      event_level));
>    return 0;
>}
>
>C:\tmp>uscf
>2594.401040
>
>His ELO has now dropped to 2594 from 1600.  Can you see how badly he'd have to
>tank it to drop to 2490?  It would take a terrific number of tournaments getting
>slaughtered every time.

You mean he only lose 6 pts ??????
All of this is pure nonsense !!!
btw GM blatny just lose about 44 pts in europeen championship and he made a 2250
or 2300 TPR.
Your numbers sucks bigtime you know.
Best regards
Alexandre Côme



This page took 0 seconds to execute

Last modified: Thu, 15 Apr 21 08:11:13 -0700

Current Computer Chess Club Forums at Talkchess. This site by Sean Mintz.