Author: Harald Faber
Date: 04:45:09 07/05/01
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On July 05, 2001 at 06:10:27, Torstein Hall wrote: >On July 05, 2001 at 04:20:40, Harald Faber wrote: > >>A disappointing result for the GambitTiger fans. Such a clear and justified loss >>hasn't happened before. I wouldn't explain the 2.5-7.5 with statistical margain. >>Looking at the games, I'd expect another win of Shredder if the match would be >>repeated. Maybe not so high, but a 6-4 would fit my forecast. Shredder really >>played some fine games, see yourself. You find the games at >>http://www.geocities.com/Harald1312/HaraldFaberE.html. >> >>Next match is versus Hiarcs 7.32 who was already very hard to beat by >>ChessTiger. The first game ended in a draw, in the second one both programs show >>a +2 in favour of Hiarcs, but it is a rook and pawn ending so maybe GambitTiger >>can reach a draw. > >10 games is not enough games to say anything for sure about program strenght! I know. But take a look at the games, don't you agree that Shredder played convincingly? And of course I wouldn't dare speaking of Shredder being stronger than GambitTiger after only 10 games. I would at least take 50 games to be on the right trip. >I'm not sure how many games you would need to 99% sure that one program is >stronger than another. Perhaps 2-300? > >Torstein Don't know exactly, but 50-100 should be enough to get a good approximation. I'd be interested in a statistic that shows the average gain/loss of ELO in the SSDF between 100 and 300 or 500 games. BTW referring to your new subject: Doesn't it show that Fritz-Junior should have stopped after 10 games? ;-)))
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