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Subject: Re: Taking a stand and a poll

Author: Mark Young

Date: 04:43:32 07/09/01

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On July 08, 2001 at 23:28:08, Bruce Moreland wrote:

>On July 08, 2001 at 22:06:05, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>
>>IE let's place a bet that I can flip a coin and get 10 consecutive tails.
>>I _know_ that if I build a "robot flipper" it will force you to pay off the
>>bet, because if I flip enough, 10 heads _must_ eventually come up, otherwise
>>the coin is not "fair".  That is how a computer will get its "norms".   It will
>>just plug along and eventually enough humans will "break" against it in the
>>same tournament and it will do well enough to pull it off.  I believe _any_
>>program could do this today.
>>
>>I mentioned that back in the 1980's, Fidelity entered multiple machines in
>>the US Open, at the same event.  Some did horribly.  One would invariably do
>>well.  That was the one you read about on the front of the package.  :)
>
>They are all doing well in all of the events though.
>
>I think that you are being pushed down the Bataan penninsula, and eventually you
>are going to run out of bullets and things to eat.  It has to happen eventually,
>since you have hardware advances killing you, at the very least.  All of the
>programs are doing well against humans.  It's kind of silly to say that they
>aren't on par.
>
>You need to get out of this "programs aren't GM's" thing gracefully at some
>point, probably soon.  You've got a bunch of people up in arms about it, and no
>matter whether or not you've been right at some past point, at some future point
>you will be wrong, and you will have to admit it, and all of these guys you are
>arguing with will use that as an opportunity to try to make you eat shit for
>about a year.


I don't think Bob Hyatt is General McCarther. There shall be no return, but like
all wrong arguments is shall fade away.

>
>bruce



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