Author: Robert Hyatt
Date: 21:30:06 08/10/01
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On August 09, 2001 at 16:13:32, K. Burcham wrote: > > >some here say that most GMs are not super GMs. >some here say that there are very few super GMs. >some here say that the super GM plays on a different level than a GM. >so i guess that i can safely say that this is a match between a program > and a super GM, kramnik. > > >i have heard all of the opinions here on programs "are GM level", > "are not GM level". > >so what will everyone say if fritz draws one game against this > "super GM"? > >what if fritz draws two games against this super GM? > >what if fritz draws three games against this super GM? > >what if kramnik barely wins the match? > >what if fritz wins one game? > >what if fritz wins two games? > >what if fritz wins three games? > >what if kramnik has a difficult time with this program? > >what if you are analyizing the games as they are played, and you discover > that the program is capable of holding the score close to zero > during most of the games against this super GM? > >what will you say if you experience any of these conditions? > >hey but maybe kramnik will make it simple for some of us and just dominate > the match, easily outscoring the program in every game. > >kburcham I've said this before. In my opinion: (1) if fritz wins the match, I will certainly have to re-think my position about whether computers are GM or not. (2) if Kramnik wins the match, we won't know a thing. He could win it 8-0 or he could win it 4.5-3.5, neither of which says a thing, really. He might take every obvious draw waiting on that one mistake that allows an easy win. Then he would coast the rest of the way with draws and we would not know much other than he is better. A lot better or a little better would be impossible to judge (IMHO). (3) if the match is drawn, it will be hard to draw a conclusion. I haven't seen the match specifics about the prize fund, but if I had to choose between the following three options: (1) lose the match and win 400K; (2) draw the match easily and win 700K; (3) try to win the 1M prize but take chances that might lead to case (1) Then I might go for (2). Or I might say "hell with it" and just take the 400K and run like the wind. That is a _lot_ of money. To go for case (3) is going to take a lot of courage.
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