Author: Graham Laight
Date: 02:25:40 08/17/01
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On August 16, 2001 at 16:13:31, Olaf Jenkner wrote: >On August 16, 2001 at 03:36:19, Graham Laight wrote: > >>In 1992, against humans, they were about 2300. >> >>Now, they're about 2650. >> >>If this trend continues, they'll be about 3000 in 2010. >> >>Of course - there is plenty of scope to argue with these numbers. It is my >>intention to just simply call it as I see it to answer Federico's question - not >>start a flame war. >> >>-g >The ELO-Rating is not a linear function ... >OJe This may well be more true than most people realise. I believe that, with "optimal" play from both sides, chess is a draw. The secretary of the USCF has produced the graph on this link: http://math.bu.edu/people/mg/ratings/Draws.jpg I think that this indicates that above, say, 3500, you'll only ever get drawn games. It's also the experience in computer chess - as their standard of play rises, so does the proportion of draws (based on a quick, unscientific study of the SSDF games by myself). -g
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