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Subject: Re: ELO of the chess programs in the 2010

Author: Roy Eassa

Date: 08:01:46 08/17/01

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On August 16, 2001 at 16:10:56, Olaf Jenkner wrote:

>On August 16, 2001 at 09:41:18, Thomas Mayer wrote:
>
>>Well, in my opinion this depends to several things:
>>
>>Maybe we will have a future, where chess programs play in tourneys and
>>sponsorship is there to make it interesting for the GMs to play with to programs
>>seriously...
>>
>>THEN i believe in this: At the moment programs can achieve ratings of 2700 and
>>higher in those tournaments with humans... when the GMs start to play serious
>>with the programs and start to study them because they need to, i think there is
>>no doubt that the ratings will lower to say 2500 or so... but well, the
>>chess-programmer do not sleep - so in 2010 we are maybe back at 2700... - I am
>>TOTALLY sure, that nor in 2010 neither in 2030 a chess program hit 3000 in
>>tournament time control...
>>
>>Greets, Thomas
>
>I agree.
>But maybe the programmers find a new approach, then they are unbeatable in 2030.

I've read that a new type of "quantum computer" will replace existing
semiconductor-type computers in about 15 years, and will be many orders of
magnitude faster.

I think it won't be the software getting better, but the improvement in
hardware, that will make the biggest difference in chess computer strength over
the next years and decades.



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