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Subject: Re: What is the approximate ELO of Fritz @ 70 Ghz ?

Author: Slater Wold

Date: 18:19:33 09/04/01

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On September 04, 2001 at 20:33:48, Terry McCracken wrote:

>On September 04, 2001 at 20:02:47, Dann Corbit wrote:
>
>>How much will the ram cost that can be read at that speed?
>>;-)
>>
>>With ram that runs at the same speed as today's DDR ram, the difference will not
>>be great (just imagine turning off all hash tables).  A 70 GHz CPU just creates
>>a massive memory bottleneck (unless they can somehow apply the same technology
>>to RAM).
>>
>>If they apply the same technology to RAM, how many KWH will that machine
>>consume?
>>;-)
>>
>>I'd like to see a few more figures before imagining any projections.
>
>I'd be cautious too in making projections, but in 5 to 10 years the average
>PC owner like myself may well indeed have, what today is considered exotic or
>expensive, even the improbable on their desktops.
>
>Does it sound really unreasonable that AMD and Intel will have "New" types of
>chips and ram that will blow the doors off existing PC's of today?
>
>Forgive the expression "Blow the Doors Off" , as I borrowed that from Dr.
>Hyatt:)
>
>
>I hate to really guess what speeds or even "New" technologies will be on our
>desks by 2010!
>
>Any bets that by that time 1Thz might be feasible?;)

CPU speed doubles every 18 months.

We are at 2Ghz now, so if you do the math:

4Ghz in 18 months.

8Ghz in 36 months.

16Ghz in 54 months.

32Ghz in 72 months.

64Ghz in 90 months.

1.28Thz in 108 months.

So we're a little less than 9 years away.  :)


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