Author: Slater Wold
Date: 19:05:59 09/04/01
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On September 04, 2001 at 21:34:01, Terry McCracken wrote: >On September 04, 2001 at 21:19:33, Slater Wold wrote: > >>On September 04, 2001 at 20:33:48, Terry McCracken wrote: >> >>>On September 04, 2001 at 20:02:47, Dann Corbit wrote: >>> >>>>How much will the ram cost that can be read at that speed? >>>>;-) >>>> >>>>With ram that runs at the same speed as today's DDR ram, the difference will not >>>>be great (just imagine turning off all hash tables). A 70 GHz CPU just creates >>>>a massive memory bottleneck (unless they can somehow apply the same technology >>>>to RAM). >>>> >>>>If they apply the same technology to RAM, how many KWH will that machine >>>>consume? >>>>;-) >>>> >>>>I'd like to see a few more figures before imagining any projections. >>> >>>I'd be cautious too in making projections, but in 5 to 10 years the average >>>PC owner like myself may well indeed have, what today is considered exotic or >>>expensive, even the improbable on their desktops. >>> >>>Does it sound really unreasonable that AMD and Intel will have "New" types of >>>chips and ram that will blow the doors off existing PC's of today? >>> >>>Forgive the expression "Blow the Doors Off" , as I borrowed that from Dr. >>>Hyatt:) >>> >>> >>>I hate to really guess what speeds or even "New" technologies will be on our >>>desks by 2010! >>> >>>Any bets that by that time 1Thz might be feasible?;) >> >>CPU speed doubles every 18 months. >> >>We are at 2Ghz now, so if you do the math: >> >>4Ghz in 18 months. >> >>8Ghz in 36 months. >> >>16Ghz in 54 months. >> >>32Ghz in 72 months. >> >>64Ghz in 90 months. >> >>1.28Thz in 108 months. >> >>So we're a little less than 9 years away. :) >> >> >>Slate > >Thanks Slate! I concur with Moore's Law. > >Here's a link for things to come in the first quarter of this century. > >http://www.scientificamerican.com/news/082801/1.html > > >Terry Anyone who is curious about these certain "laws" of computing, can find more at http://www.intel.com/intel/museum/25anniv/hof/moore.htm. And interesting one is Rock's Law. Which is more than likely why there are no "Deep Thought" type chess machines around anymore. Slate
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