Author: Roy Brunjes
Date: 22:17:07 09/04/01
Go up one level in this thread
On September 04, 2001 at 21:19:33, Slater Wold wrote:
>On September 04, 2001 at 20:33:48, Terry McCracken wrote:
>
>>On September 04, 2001 at 20:02:47, Dann Corbit wrote:
>>
>>>How much will the ram cost that can be read at that speed?
>>>;-)
>>>
>>>With ram that runs at the same speed as today's DDR ram, the difference will not
>>>be great (just imagine turning off all hash tables). A 70 GHz CPU just creates
>>>a massive memory bottleneck (unless they can somehow apply the same technology
>>>to RAM).
>>>
>>>If they apply the same technology to RAM, how many KWH will that machine
>>>consume?
>>>;-)
>>>
>>>I'd like to see a few more figures before imagining any projections.
>>
>>I'd be cautious too in making projections, but in 5 to 10 years the average
>>PC owner like myself may well indeed have, what today is considered exotic or
>>expensive, even the improbable on their desktops.
>>
>>Does it sound really unreasonable that AMD and Intel will have "New" types of
>>chips and ram that will blow the doors off existing PC's of today?
>>
>>Forgive the expression "Blow the Doors Off" , as I borrowed that from Dr.
>>Hyatt:)
>>
>>
>>I hate to really guess what speeds or even "New" technologies will be on our
>>desks by 2010!
>>
>>Any bets that by that time 1Thz might be feasible?;)
>
>CPU speed doubles every 18 months.
>
>We are at 2Ghz now, so if you do the math:
>
>4Ghz in 18 months.
>
>8Ghz in 36 months.
>
>16Ghz in 54 months.
>
>32Ghz in 72 months.
>
>64Ghz in 90 months.
>
>1.28Thz in 108 months.
>
>So we're a little less than 9 years away. :)
>
>
>Slate
Not quite according to my calculator:
64 GHz in 90 months ... and then comes NOT 1.28 THz in 108 months,
but rather: 128 GHz in 108 months
256 GHz in 126 months
512 GHz in 144 months
1 THz in 162 months (about 13.5 years from now)
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