Computer Chess Club Archives


Search

Terms

Messages

Subject: Re: What is the approximate ELO of Fritz @ 70 Ghz ?

Author: Slater Wold

Date: 22:37:25 09/04/01

Go up one level in this thread


On September 05, 2001 at 01:17:07, Roy Brunjes wrote:

>On September 04, 2001 at 21:19:33, Slater Wold wrote:
>
>>On September 04, 2001 at 20:33:48, Terry McCracken wrote:
>>
>>>On September 04, 2001 at 20:02:47, Dann Corbit wrote:
>>>
>>>>How much will the ram cost that can be read at that speed?
>>>>;-)
>>>>
>>>>With ram that runs at the same speed as today's DDR ram, the difference will not
>>>>be great (just imagine turning off all hash tables).  A 70 GHz CPU just creates
>>>>a massive memory bottleneck (unless they can somehow apply the same technology
>>>>to RAM).
>>>>
>>>>If they apply the same technology to RAM, how many KWH will that machine
>>>>consume?
>>>>;-)
>>>>
>>>>I'd like to see a few more figures before imagining any projections.
>>>
>>>I'd be cautious too in making projections, but in 5 to 10 years the average
>>>PC owner like myself may well indeed have, what today is considered exotic or
>>>expensive, even the improbable on their desktops.
>>>
>>>Does it sound really unreasonable that AMD and Intel will have "New" types of
>>>chips and ram that will blow the doors off existing PC's of today?
>>>
>>>Forgive the expression "Blow the Doors Off" , as I borrowed that from Dr.
>>>Hyatt:)
>>>
>>>
>>>I hate to really guess what speeds or even "New" technologies will be on our
>>>desks by 2010!
>>>
>>>Any bets that by that time 1Thz might be feasible?;)
>>
>>CPU speed doubles every 18 months.
>>
>>We are at 2Ghz now, so if you do the math:
>>
>>4Ghz in 18 months.
>>
>>8Ghz in 36 months.
>>
>>16Ghz in 54 months.
>>
>>32Ghz in 72 months.
>>
>>64Ghz in 90 months.
>>
>>1.28Thz in 108 months.
>>
>>So we're a little less than 9 years away.  :)
>>
>>
>>Slate
>
>Not quite according to my calculator:
>
>            64 GHz in 90 months ... and then comes NOT 1.28 THz in 108 months,
>but rather: 128 GHz in 108 months
>            256 GHz in 126 months
>            512 GHz in 144 months
>              1 THz in 162 months (about 13.5 years from now)

You're right.  1000Ghz is 1.0Thz.

Forgive me.  I post while sometimes still asleep.


Slate



This page took 0 seconds to execute

Last modified: Thu, 15 Apr 21 08:11:13 -0700

Current Computer Chess Club Forums at Talkchess. This site by Sean Mintz.