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Subject: Re: What is the approximate ELO of Fritz @ 70 Ghz ?

Author: J. Wesley Cleveland

Date: 16:08:40 09/05/01

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On September 05, 2001 at 15:29:31, Roy Eassa wrote:

>On September 05, 2001 at 15:26:53, Uri Blass wrote:
>
>>On September 05, 2001 at 15:15:24, Dann Corbit wrote:
>>
>>>On September 05, 2001 at 13:07:50, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>>[snip]
>>>>They will come, but it is not clear that the 18 month cycle will be preserved
>>>>for the forseeable future.  It has already started to lengthen...
>>>
>>>I'm not sure about really recent trends, but for the past decade it had actually
>>>shortened from 18 months to 12.
>>
>>If you are right then it means that the latest computers are 1024
>>times faster than the computers of 10 years ago.
>>
>>I think about machines that everybody can buy
>>and not about supercomputers.
>>
>>It seems to me to be wrong.
>>
>>I believe that the 386 is less than 1000 times slower than the latest
>>pentiums even if you give them 2 processors(computers with more than
>>2 prcessors are almost not used by the public so I do not count them)
>>
>
>In August of 1991, I bought a 486/33, which was about the fastest you could get
>at that time.  I'd agree that a 1.4 GHz Athlon or a 2.0 GHz Pentium 4 is indeed
>LESS than 1000 times as fast as that 1991 system was.

The 486 was not superscalar and had slower L1 cache. I would guess that
processor-intensive tasks would be about 1000x faster. Note that memory speeds,
particularly latency, have not increased anywhere 1000x.



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