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Subject: Re: Vegas odds on Fritz Vs Kramnik match

Author: Geo Disher

Date: 02:39:22 09/06/01

Go up one level in this thread


On September 05, 2001 at 22:43:29, Jay Rinde wrote:

>On September 05, 2001 at 22:32:52, Chris Kantack wrote:
>
>>On September 05, 2001 at 15:24:56, Roy Eassa wrote:
>>>I think that was the original point.  Common people who make bets DON'T know
>>>much about chess.  The common conception is that computers are better than
>>>humans.  So the masses will bet against Kramnik, making the odds favorable for
>>>those of us who know better!
>>
>>I completely agree with what has been stated in this thread.   But what if Vegas
>>was looking for some kind of "point spread"?   That is, what will the final
>>match score be?   I believe most of us know Kramnik could go undefeated if he
>>wanted to.  But how will he play this match?   Will he keep the score close to
>>make it look good?   In other words, will Kramnik throw a few games to keep the
>>interest level up?   I would not be surprised if that was the plan.
>
>You must be joking!! Yes, you are joking.

I don't believe he is joking and I agree that it would be in Kamniks interest
not to win all the games if he could.  It would appear that this match was much
diffrent than the Deep Blue Match if he put all his energy into this and won all
the games which I believe he might be able to do.  This could jeopardize the
interest in another match.  Anyway all this being said I would not like to bet
on the spread but on win or loss.  Kramnik to win.



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