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Subject: Re: Vegas odds on Fritz Vs Kramnik match

Author: Uri Blass

Date: 03:31:48 09/06/01

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On September 06, 2001 at 05:39:22, Geo Disher wrote:

>On September 05, 2001 at 22:43:29, Jay Rinde wrote:
>
>>On September 05, 2001 at 22:32:52, Chris Kantack wrote:
>>
>>>On September 05, 2001 at 15:24:56, Roy Eassa wrote:
>>>>I think that was the original point.  Common people who make bets DON'T know
>>>>much about chess.  The common conception is that computers are better than
>>>>humans.  So the masses will bet against Kramnik, making the odds favorable for
>>>>those of us who know better!
>>>
>>>I completely agree with what has been stated in this thread.   But what if Vegas
>>>was looking for some kind of "point spread"?   That is, what will the final
>>>match score be?   I believe most of us know Kramnik could go undefeated if he
>>>wanted to.  But how will he play this match?   Will he keep the score close to
>>>make it look good?   In other words, will Kramnik throw a few games to keep the
>>>interest level up?   I would not be surprised if that was the plan.
>>
>>You must be joking!! Yes, you are joking.
>
>I don't believe he is joking and I agree that it would be in Kamniks interest
>not to win all the games if he could.  It would appear that this match was much
>diffrent than the Deep Blue Match if he put all his energy into this and won all
>the games which I believe he might be able to do.  This could jeopardize the
>interest in another match.  Anyway all this being said I would not like to bet
>on the spread but on win or loss.  Kramnik to win.

I believe that if kramnik can win all the games there is no
reason for him not to do it.

I do not think that there will be no interest in another match
in the future if kramnik gets 100%

Kasparov also got 100% against Deep thought and later
there was an interest in another match of kasparov
against deep blue.

I expect kramnik to win the match but I do not believe that
he can win all the games when he does not have the exact program.

I think you simply underestimate the machine.

A weaker version that did not use 8 proceesors drew 3-3 with
GM heubner and I do not believe that
kramnik can get 100% against huebner.

Uri



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