Author: Geo Disher
Date: 14:43:43 09/06/01
Go up one level in this thread
On September 06, 2001 at 06:31:48, Uri Blass wrote: >On September 06, 2001 at 05:39:22, Geo Disher wrote: > >>On September 05, 2001 at 22:43:29, Jay Rinde wrote: >> >>>On September 05, 2001 at 22:32:52, Chris Kantack wrote: >>> >>>>On September 05, 2001 at 15:24:56, Roy Eassa wrote: >>>>>I think that was the original point. Common people who make bets DON'T know >>>>>much about chess. The common conception is that computers are better than >>>>>humans. So the masses will bet against Kramnik, making the odds favorable for >>>>>those of us who know better! >>>> >>>>I completely agree with what has been stated in this thread. But what if Vegas >>>>was looking for some kind of "point spread"? That is, what will the final >>>>match score be? I believe most of us know Kramnik could go undefeated if he >>>>wanted to. But how will he play this match? Will he keep the score close to >>>>make it look good? In other words, will Kramnik throw a few games to keep the >>>>interest level up? I would not be surprised if that was the plan. >>> >>>You must be joking!! Yes, you are joking. >> >>I don't believe he is joking and I agree that it would be in Kamniks interest >>not to win all the games if he could. It would appear that this match was much >>diffrent than the Deep Blue Match if he put all his energy into this and won all >>the games which I believe he might be able to do. This could jeopardize the >>interest in another match. Anyway all this being said I would not like to bet >>on the spread but on win or loss. Kramnik to win. > >I believe that if kramnik can win all the games there is no >reason for him not to do it. > >I do not think that there will be no interest in another match >in the future if kramnik gets 100% > >Kasparov also got 100% against Deep thought and later >there was an interest in another match of kasparov >against deep blue. > >I expect kramnik to win the match but I do not believe that >he can win all the games when he does not have the exact program. > >I think you simply underestimate the machine. > >A weaker version that did not use 8 proceesors drew 3-3 with >GM heubner and I do not believe that >kramnik can get 100% against huebner. > >Uri After looking at your comments and thinking through this a little more I agree that the interest in the match probably would not go down by much if Kramnik won all the games. I tend to believe as some other has stated that it is still in his best interest to play conservatively to just make sure not to loose and win if and when the chance arises. I also may have been mislead about the software. Does he or does he not get a copy of the software before the match. I thought he did but just had not received it as of last week or so. Clearly this would make a big difference in my book although even without it I still think it is an easy bet for me as to who will win. When I spoke about him winning all the games I was definitely assuming he had the program.
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