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Subject: Re: Uri Blass(deep fritz) vs Robert Hyatt (IBM) - opinions or analys

Author: Robert Hyatt

Date: 06:46:14 09/09/01

Go up one level in this thread


On September 09, 2001 at 01:51:24, Uri Blass wrote:

>On September 08, 2001 at 23:37:18, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>
>>On September 08, 2001 at 15:25:47, Uri Blass wrote:
>>
>>>On September 08, 2001 at 12:18:45, Gian-Carlo Pascutto wrote:
>>>
>>>>On September 08, 2001 at 11:46:09, K. Burcham wrote:
>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>       so i have concluded after lots of time analyzing deep blue positions
>>>>>          that todays programs seem to be very close or equivelant to deep
>>>>>        blue in playing strength.
>>>>
>>>>The problem with DB and the main reason why this debate has been
>>>>going on since the start of CCC is that theres just not enough
>>>>data. 6 games doesn't seem to be enough to get a decent idea to
>>>>compare DB to others. So people start making all kinds of assumptions,
>>>>and arrive at even more shaky conclusions.
>>>>
>>>>I personally do not believe that the top comps of today are
>>>>equivalent to DB as far as search is concerned. This is based
>>>>on the data I have seen and what I know of DB's design and search.
>>>>
>>>>As for eval, well, I think that is another matter. While DB no
>>>>doubt had a very sophisticated eval, and contained more than
>>>>nowadays micros can do, I'm not sure if it was tuned as well as
>>>>todays comps are.
>>>>
>>>>They may have had a team of grandmasters and good programmers,
>>>>I think tuning a top program is something that must be done
>>>>over time and based on loads and loads of games. It is wellknown
>>>>that DB wasn't actually 'final' when it played Kasparov. So
>>>>their tuning wasn't probably all that great either. The 'smart'
>>>>parts of the eval may have interacted in a less than ideal way.
>>>>
>>>>Whether or not that added up to something that was weaker or
>>>>stronger than current top is something I don't know. Nobody
>>>>else here knows either. And you won't be able to tell from
>>>>6 games, no matter how long you argue (its 5 years and counting...).
>>>>
>>>>Fact is, DB did what it was supposed to do. It beat Kasparov
>>>>and generated a huge amount of publicity.
>>>>
>>>>Robert may not like the fact that many people (I won't call
>>>>names, you know who you are) like to compare their programs
>>>>to DB or even say they're better to build onto the huge
>>>>amount of publicity DB generated. But somehow this is
>>>>justified. Not because their programs are stronger, but
>>>>because DB disappeared after it gave the impression comps
>>>>topped humans. But a champion is not champion if he does not
>>>>play.
>>>>
>>>>Deep Blue is the Fischer of computer chess.
>>>>
>>>>He did something cool, disappeared and left the rest of
>>>>the world arguing instead of moving on.
>>>>
>>>>The Fritz match will be interesting. If Fritz beats Kramnik,
>>>>that'll be a very good argument against DB. But I expect
>>>>Kramnik to toast the comp actually.
>>>>
>>>>What bothers me about that match is that they made it look
>>>>like Kramniks demands were redicolously unfair, so the meaning
>>>>of the match in the comp/human/Kasparov/DB debate is reduced,
>>>>but it seems that they aren't going to abide by the terms
>>>>anyway. This is probably good...It'll do Kramnik more justice
>>>>when he toasts it even then.
>>>>
>>>>Oh, and if Hsu publishes his book, that will also be
>>>>very intersting of course...but when, if ever?
>>>>
>>>>> in other words i am looking for any positions
>>>>> that my system will not choose deep blues next move. or does
>>>>> not see deep blues next move as an equivelant eval.
>>>>
>>>>[D]r4bk1/5rpp/1Bppbp2/4n3/N7/1PP5/P1B2RPP/4R1K1 b - - 7 27
>>>>
>>>>From DB's ancestor. You need to
>>>>
>>>>a) find the best move (easy)b) find that it wins a knight (eval >2.xx) within 3
>>>>minutes
>>>>
>>>>The 3 minutes should actually be divided with the speed difference
>>>>between DB and Deep Thought.
>>>>
>>>>--
>>>>GCP
>>>
>>>This position was discussed a long time ago in CCC
>>>The conclusion of me and Amir Ban and a lot of other people was that black does
>>>not win a piece because no human could prove that it wins a piece.
>>>
>>>If you want to find an impressive move of Deep thought then you need
>>>to find something that humans can understand.
>>>
>>>If humans cannot understand that it is winning a piece after going forward and
>>>backward with their program then the argument is not convincing.
>>>
>>>Uri
>>
>>
>>Until 20 years ago humans thought that in KQ vs KR the king and rook _must_
>>stay together for best defense.  After a computer demonstrated that this is
>>not correct, humans _finally_ figured out why.
>>
>>The number of things humans are not going to understand is going to go _up_
>>and not _down_ over the next 20 years.  If you think that just because a human
>>can't understand something, it can't be correct, then humans are going to get
>>wrecked by a _lot_ of "incorrect" play over the next 20+ years and beyond.
>
>The main problem is the fact that humans together with programs ,time and the
>game could not understand the evaluation of Deep thought.
>
>If Hsu has Deep blue Junior that is supposed to be better than Deep thought then
>I invite him to prove the +2 evaluation against one of the top programs when he
>gives the top program some hours per move.
>
>I am interested to know what he thinks today about that position.
>Does he think that Deep thought really outsearched Cray blitz by 20 plies or
>does he think that Deep thought had a bug in the evaluation that caused it to
>believe that it wins material(maybe it had a big positional score)?
>
>I believe that Cray blitz was better than Deep thought and I think that Deep
>thought was simply lucky to get a position when Cray blitz blundered because it
>was more easy to find the right moves for Deep thought and not to find the right
>moves for Cray blitz.

I don't agree with that.  When I first played chiptest in 1987, we had a chance
to win the game but a SMP bug in Cray Blitz caused it to play a poor move and
lose.  From that point on, I don't _ever_ recall having a real chance to beat
them.  They out-played us (and everyone else) at every event after that one.




>
>Uri



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