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Subject: A better question is : How many positions in all the games ever played.

Author: Timothy J. Frohlick

Date: 13:34:45 10/01/01

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Assuming that only 10% of the world plays chess and the average number of games
that each person will play to be 10,000 games during a lifetime, then we have
between 10,000,000,000 and 20,000,000,000 chessplayers since the game began.
Each game is on average 60 moves.

10,000 x 20,000,000,000 x 60 = number of moves/positions that have been played

If you figure that openings played are similar then we can guess that the number
of different positions would be 1/10th the total or 1,200,000,000,000,000
different positions.

Assuming that the human species will be here for less than another 1,000,000
years and the above data obtains then we will have a total of
1,200,000,000,000,000,000,000 chess moves in the course of human existence.

Far less than the silly "all possible moves" in chess. Of course I did not
include computer vs computer play but who cares.


Tim Frohlick


On October 01, 2001 at 15:14:07, Slater Wold wrote:

>I am not a math expert, and I know a lot of you (Uri) out there are.  So I ask
>all you experts to solve this problem:
>
>                 *How many legal positions are their in chess?*
>
>Also, please take into account that the king will always be present on the
>board.
>
>I understand that there will more than likely be more positions than actually
>possible.  Such as the position of PPPPPPPPK vs ppppppppk.  But I am willing to
>deal with these.
>
>What would be the formula, and more importantly, the solution to this?
>
>Thanks!
>
>
>
>Slate



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