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Subject: Re: Does SSDF list show diminishing returns? Some calculations

Author: Dann Corbit

Date: 02:47:25 10/09/01

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On October 09, 2001 at 05:19:00, Uri Blass wrote:

>On October 08, 2001 at 05:48:55, Daniel Clausen wrote:
>
>>Hi
>>
>>On October 08, 2001 at 03:13:22, Jouni Uski wrote:
>>[snip]
>>
>>>In average 3,70. This gives (log2/log3,7)*84 = 45 points for speed doubling.
>>>Previously it has been spoken about 60-70 points for doubling, so there is
>>>diminishing returns now!
>>>
>>>Jouni
>>
>>That or either the previous or the new claim is based on shaky data. ;)
>>
>>Sargon
>
>In reply to Dann Corbit I can say that the error here is smaller than the error
>of one program because when we look at the average gain of a lot of programs we
>get smaller error than the erro in one program.
>
>I guess that the error margin for the average is close to 10 elo.

Unless, of course, it is larger.
There are a lot of variables, all moving at once.
You might be right.  But if you are right, it is because you are a good guesser.



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