Author: Christophe Theron
Date: 08:56:27 10/09/01
Go up one level in this thread
On October 09, 2001 at 05:47:25, Dann Corbit wrote:
>On October 09, 2001 at 05:19:00, Uri Blass wrote:
>
>>On October 08, 2001 at 05:48:55, Daniel Clausen wrote:
>>
>>>Hi
>>>
>>>On October 08, 2001 at 03:13:22, Jouni Uski wrote:
>>>[snip]
>>>
>>>>In average 3,70. This gives (log2/log3,7)*84 = 45 points for speed doubling.
>>>>Previously it has been spoken about 60-70 points for doubling, so there is
>>>>diminishing returns now!
>>>>
>>>>Jouni
>>>
>>>That or either the previous or the new claim is based on shaky data. ;)
>>>
>>>Sargon
>>
>>In reply to Dann Corbit I can say that the error here is smaller than the error
>>of one program because when we look at the average gain of a lot of programs we
>>get smaller error than the erro in one program.
>>
>>I guess that the error margin for the average is close to 10 elo.
>
>Unless, of course, it is larger.
>There are a lot of variables, all moving at once.
>You might be right. But if you are right, it is because you are a good guesser.
Uri prefers solid data over guesses, but when he has to guess in general he is a
good guesser. :)
Anyway it is true that even +/-10 elo on this matter is a HUGE error bar. We are
trying to detect a change of 10 elo in improvement from doubling the computer
speed.
Christophe
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