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Subject: Re: Consistently decreasing/increasing evaluations

Author: Robert Hyatt

Date: 06:58:52 10/23/01

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On October 23, 2001 at 08:56:18, Gordon Rattray wrote:

>Suppose that during the analysis of a position, a chess engine shows evaluations
>similar to this:
>
>depth 7:   Qe1   eval:   0.58
>depth 8:   Qe1   eval:   0.42
>depth 9:   Qe1   eval:   0.39
>depth 10:  Qe1   eval:   0.33
>
>i.e. as the depth increases, the move choice stays the same, and the evaluation
>is slowly but consistently decreasing.
>
>I release that in general the next evaluation could be anything, but I am right
>in thinking that the probability of it decreasing further is higher than normal?
> Or to take it to extremes, I think the above is more likely to decrease further
>than the following:
>
>depth 7:   Qe1   eval:   0.33
>depth 8:   Qe1   eval:   0.39
>depth 9:   Qe1   eval:   0.42
>depth 10:  Qe1   eval:   0.58
>
>Did each line involve a "fail low"?  Or am I getting my terms mixed up?
>
>Do chess programs take account of the above and, e.g., are more likely to search
>further before moving?
>
>Gordon


That generally suggests that there is a horizon-effect happening, and that
eventually the best move will be bad enough that a new best move will be
found.

But searchng until you find it is not possible in a timed game, for obvious
reasons...



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