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Subject: Re: Issue regarding GM strength

Author: Robert Hyatt

Date: 19:43:50 10/26/01

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On October 26, 2001 at 16:12:29, Sune Larsson wrote:

>On October 26, 2001 at 15:34:08, Christopher R. Dorr wrote:
>
>>As I was reading the seemingly neverending discussion about computers being GMs
>>or not, one thing strikes me. The vast majority of people discuss only the
>>results of programs vs. GMs or other strong programs. Very few seem to focus on
>>their performance versus reasonable, but significantly weaker-than-GM opponents.
>>As a couple of examples, it seems that the majority of posters on here consider
>>Fritz 5 and Tiger 13 as GM strength computers on fast machines. Clearly, they
>>can hang with very good GMs on, say, a Celeron 800. If we look only at their
>>performance against a theoretical field of FIDE 2500 type GMS, these programs
>>would likely grab a performance rating in the neighborhood of 2500-2600, which
>>is reasonable to say 'GM strength'.
>>
>>What to make, however, of the notion that I, a random USCF 2100 can usually
>>score 1/8-1/4 against Tiger 13 on a Celeron 800. That equates to a rating
>>(against me) for Tiger of approximately USCF 2300-2400, which is clearly *not*
>>GM strength. While I rarely beat Tiger, I frequently draw it, at time controls
>>ranging from G/5 to G/30, at which one would suppose that a comp would be even
>>stronger than at 40/2. I have a very close friend who is also a USCF 2100, who
>>has a similar record against Fritz 5.
>>
>>When I had a copy of Chess genius a few years ago, this ability to draw it
>>almost at will was even more pronounced.
>>
>>So which is it? Is Tiger the GM program that can perform at a 2550 FIDE level
>>against GMs, or is it the USCF 2300 that it plays like against me?
>>
>>I have played several GMs in tournament play and at fast speeds on the internet.
>>I strongly doubt that I could get 1/8 or 1/4 against most decent GMs in a match,
>>yet I can fairly easily do that against many programs. If you do not believe me,
>>I'd be happy to show you multiple games against computers where their evaluation
>>said they were clearly winning, but in reality had drifted into a drawn R+P
>>ending or Bisop of opposite colour ending. Happens all the time.
>>
>>The main reason I posted this is to assert my position that we really *cannot*
>>say whether or not computers ar GMs. The way in which computers play does not
>>make that realistic yet. A computer will (in all liklihood) take a draw by
>>repition against me when down .15 just as it will against a GM. I know that you
>>can tune that by artificial means such as contempt bonuses and penalties, but
>>even with that, computers that I have seen *simply do not play like humans
>>play*, not only in terms of style, but also in terms of performance.
>>
>>If I played an 8 game match against GM Randomovich, and I scored 1.5, would we
>>call that a GM performance? Likely not. But if GM Randomovich plays in a
>>tournament and scores 4-4 against 2550 GMs, we would. A Computer certainly can
>>do the latter: but it *also* does the former with regularity. So, in reality, is
>>it *really* GM strength?
>>
>>Chris
>
>
> Very interesting reading. When I played actively, my national rating was
> about 2270-2300 - and that was several years ago. A while ago I tried
> a serie of 21 serious games vs 12 different GM personalities in CM8. They
> were played on a PIII 800 with 64 Mb hash for the program - 40 moves in
> 40 minutes. My preparation was absolutely none - no openings nothing.
> Simply played right from start. Also I had no interest in creating
> anti computer play. The result was exactly 1/3 meaning 7/21. When I look
> at these games I'm certain that my play was not above 2300 - but probably
> in the range of 2200-2300 somewhere. Some wins mixed with hard fought
> draws and stupid mistakes. With 14/21 for the program, is it then correct
> to assume that the program performed around 230 points better than me?
> If this is correct, and my rating is put to 2250 - CM performed around
> 2480. In 40/40.


14/23 is almost 2 of 3.  3 of 4 is roughly 200.  2/3 should be less than that...

Bob

(14/23 is 60% wins, for those wanting more accurate results.  That sounds like
maybe 100 rating points rather than 230 if I understood you correctly).



> On the other hand - if human player Jacques Tigér went to South America
> and performed what his cousin - the program - did, he would have got
> a GM-norm with 2 points margin! Results tell.
>
> Sune



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