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Subject: Re: five program study on radical eval change--DJ7 vs Shredder---Maastricht

Author: Ernst Walet

Date: 08:49:30 12/22/01

Go up one level in this thread


What you prove here imho is that 64...Rd8 is a clear mistake by Shredder.
Attached is F7a's analysis before and after this move.

Ernst.


Junior - Shredder
1r5k/7p/5PP1/1q6/p2p1N1K/2b1pBP1/8/3Q4 b - - 0 1

Analysis by Fritz 7:

64...hxg6 65.Bd5 Qb1 66.Qg4 g5+ 67.Kxg5 Qc2 68.Qh4+ Qh7
  -+  (-3.00)   Depth: 7/22   00:00:00  160kN
64...hxg6--
  -+  (-2.72)   Depth: 8/24   00:00:00  247kN
64...hxg6 65.Nxg6+ Kh7 66.Ne7 d3 67.Be4+ Kh6 68.Nf5+ Qxf5 69.Bxf5 Bxf6+ 70.Kg4
  µ  (-0.79)   Depth: 8/25   00:00:00  391kN
64...Rd8!
  µ  (-0.82)   Depth: 8/25   00:00:01  604kN
64...Rd8!
  µ  (-0.97)   Depth: 8/25   00:00:01  616kN
64...Rd8!
  µ  (-1.29)   Depth: 8/25   00:00:01  634kN
64...Rd8!
  -+  (-1.91)   Depth: 8/25   00:00:01  662kN
64...Rd8--
  -+  (-1.63)   Depth: 9/24   00:00:02  1186kN
64...Rd8 65.Qc2 h6 66.g7+ Kg8 67.Nd5 d3 68.Qxc3 Re8 69.Ne7+ Rxe7
  ³  (-0.57)   Depth: 9/28   00:00:04  2281kN
64...Rg8!
  ³  (-0.60)   Depth: 9/28   00:00:05  3091kN
64...Rg8!
  µ  (-0.75)   Depth: 9/28   00:00:05  3129kN
64...Rg8!
  µ  (-1.07)   Depth: 9/28   00:00:05  3194kN
64...Rg8 65.Qc2 Qd7 66.g7+ Rxg7 67.fxg7+ Kxg7
  µ  (-1.35)   Depth: 9/28   00:00:06  3581kN
64...Rg8 65.g7+ Rxg7 66.fxg7+ Kxg7 67.Bd5 Qd7 68.Ne6+ Kh8 69.Qf3 Qd6 70.Qf6+
  µ  (-1.13)   Depth: 10/27   00:00:07  4211kN
64...d3!
  µ  (-1.16)   Depth: 10/30   00:00:09  5630kN
64...d3 65.g7+ Kg8 66.Bd5+ Qxd5 67.Nxd5 e2 68.Qxd3
  µ  (-1.19)   Depth: 10/30   00:00:09  5697kN
64...d3 65.g7+ Kg8 66.Bd5+ Qxd5 67.Nxd5 e2 68.Qxd3 e1Q 69.Ne7+ Kf7 70.g8Q+ Rxg8
71.Qxh7+ Kxf6
  µ  (-1.13)   Depth: 11/31   00:00:11  6956kN
64...d3--
  µ  (-0.85)   Depth: 12/24   00:00:15  9452kN
64...d3 65.g7+ Kg8 66.Bd5+ Qxd5 67.Nxd5 e2 68.Qxd3 e1Q
  µ  (-0.79)   Depth: 12/34   00:00:19  11671kN
64...d3 65.g7+ Kg8 66.Bd5+ Qxd5 67.Nxd5 e2 68.Qxd3 e1Q 69.Ne7+ Kf7 70.g8Q+ Rxg8
71.Qxh7+ Kxf6
  ³  (-0.69)   Depth: 13/35   00:00:36  22753kN
64...d3--
  ³  (-0.41)   Depth: 14/27   00:01:00  38448kN
64...d3 65.g7+ Kg8 66.Bd5+ Qxd5 67.Nxd5 e2 68.Qxd3 e1Q 69.Ne7+ Kf7 70.g8Q+ Rxg8
71.Qxh7+ Kxf6
  ³  (-0.35)   Depth: 14/39   00:01:24  54186kN
64...d3--
  =  (-0.07)   Depth: 15/32   00:02:27  95344kN
64...d3
  =  (-0.07)   Depth: 15/40   00:03:16  129191kN
64...d3--
  =  (0.21)   Depth: 16/33   00:06:00  237393kN, tb=1
64...d3 65.g7+ Kg8 66.Bd5+ Qxd5 67.Nxd5 e2 68.Qxd3 e1Q 69.Ne7+ Kf7 70.g8Q+ Rxg8
71.Qxh7+ Kxf6
  =  (0.25)   Depth: 16/44   00:09:32  381255kN, tb=2
64...d3 65.g7+ Kg8 66.Bd5+ Qxd5 67.Nxd5 e2 68.Qxd3 e1Q 69.Ne7+ Kf7 70.g8Q+ Rxg8
71.Qxh7+ Kxf6
  =  (0.09)   Depth: 17/44   00:22:40  909661kN, tb=36

(Celeron 1,2 GHz, 832MB hash, 3,4 and 5 piece EGTB's 22.12.2001)






Junior - Shredder
3r3k/7p/5PP1/1q6/p2p1N1K/2b1pBP1/8/3Q4 w - - 0 1

Analysis by Fritz 7:

65.Qc2 h6 66.Ne6 Qc4 67.Qe4 Re8
  -+  (-1.93)   Depth: 7/22   00:00:00  177kN
65.Qc2!
  -+  (-1.65)   Depth: 8/25   00:00:00  357kN
65.Qc2!
  µ  (-1.37)   Depth: 8/25   00:00:00  408kN
65.Qc2!
  µ  (-0.81)   Depth: 8/25   00:00:00  490kN
65.Qc2!
  ³  (-0.53)   Depth: 9/25   00:00:02  961kN
65.Qc2!
  =  (-0.25)   Depth: 9/25   00:00:02  1080kN
65.Qc2 h6 66.Nd5 Rg8 67.g7+ Rxg7 68.fxg7+ Kxg7 69.Nxc3 Qg5+ 70.Kh3
  =  (0.10)   Depth: 9/28   00:00:02  1338kN
65.Qc2 h6 66.g7+ Kg8 67.Nd5 d3 68.Qxc3 Re8 69.f7+ Kxf7 70.Bh5+ Kg8 71.Nf6+ Kxg7
  ²  (0.29)   Depth: 10/27   00:00:04  2378kN
65.Qc2!
  ²  (0.57)   Depth: 11/29   00:00:09  4966kN
65.Qc2!
  ±  (0.85)   Depth: 11/29   00:00:09  5541kN
65.Qc2 Rg8 66.f7 Qb8 67.fxg8Q+ Qxg8
  ±  (0.94)   Depth: 11/32   00:00:11  6597kN
65.Qc2!
  ±  (1.22)   Depth: 12/30   00:00:21  12741kN
65.Qc2!
  +-  (1.50)   Depth: 12/30   00:00:23  14156kN
65.Qc2!
  +-  (2.07)   Depth: 12/32   00:00:29  17414kN
65.Qc2!
  +-  (2.35)   Depth: 13/32   00:01:08  42309kN
65.Qc2!
  +-  (2.63)   Depth: 13/32   00:01:12  45031kN
65.Qc2!
  +-  (3.19)   Depth: 13/35   00:01:19  49883kN
65.Qc2 Rg8 66.Qe4 Qd7 67.Qe5 d3 68.Qxc3 hxg6 69.f7+ Kh7 70.fxg8Q+ Kxg8 71.Bd5+
Kh7 72.Qxd3
  +-  (3.38)   Depth: 13/35   00:01:38  61876kN
65.Qc2!
  +-  (3.66)   Depth: 14/34   00:02:52  107616kN
65.Qc2 Rg8 66.Qe4 Qd7 67.Qe5 d3 68.Qxc3 hxg6
  +-  (3.69)   Depth: 14/35   00:03:13  121376kN
65.Qc2!
  +-  (3.97)   Depth: 15/38   00:05:58  229837kN
65.Qc2!
  +-  (4.25)   Depth: 15/38   00:06:21  245726kN
65.Qc2!
  +-  (4.82)   Depth: 15/38   00:07:12  279864kN
65.Qc2 Rg8 66.Bd5 e2 67.g7+ Rxg7 68.fxg7+ Kxg7 69.Qf5 Qxd5 70.Nh5+ Kg8 71.Qxd5+
Kf8 72.Qf3+
  +-  (6.41)   Depth: 15/40   00:08:34  334936kN

(Celeron 1,2 GHz, 832MB hash, 3,4 and 5 piece EGTB's 22.12.2001)



On December 22, 2001 at 03:36:46, K. Burcham wrote:

>in this game there was a big swing from a positive score of about five to a
>losing score of a mate in 11 in the final position. i have had several questions
>about this game since i found this out at that time. this game has been
>discussed here before. this was not a blitz game. shredders score
>gradually increased to the +5, and back to a mate in 11 with 80 moves. all this
>made me curious. here are my questions about this game.
>
>questions:
>    1. was there one or more blunders?
>    2. will some of the other top programs  have this large eval swing?
>    4. how miscalculated was this plan by shredder to push its own two pawns?
>    5. can we find a key move in this game that will end in a draw?
>    6. will shredder duplicate the same eval, in an analysis?
>    7. one of the top programmers that post here, made this statement:
>        "well we know we cant trust shredders eval, so we should not
>          use this program to analyze games". i assumed he was basing
>            that comment on this game. so is his statement true?
>    8. did deep junior eval also swing, the same as shredder?
>    9. when did deep junior see the problem shredder was in?
>    10. does this game indicate that deep junior can see far ahead
>          of most programs?
>
>now i am able to get some accurate answers. with dual 1533 and 1 gig ram,
>i can run deep junior7. in the list below you will see i also used other
>programs to compare. i tried to keep most depths from about 12 to 15.
>deep junior was getting depths of 4 to 5 more than other programs.
>sometimes the post would hang during analysis. but i think this info
>is accurate.  i started with move 21. shreddder was in book until about move 11.
>deep junior also did not have 11...Rc8 in its book. it seems stefan
>was using a different book than the commercial shredder5. maybe this was the
>shredder5.32 book, not sure. at move 21 shredder eval was up about one pawn.
>
>all scores are for white, deep junior7.
>
>deep junior7, shredder5, chess tiger 14.0, deep shredder, crafty 18.08
>
>21.Qh3  -.30    -1.25        -1.28          -.92            -.69
>31.Na4  -1.25   -3.05        -2.04          -2.88           -.2.05
>47.hxg4 -1.95   -4.08        -2.88          -4.25           -3.19
>55.Kh3  -1.76   -4.92        -4.52          -4.95           -3.00
>57.g5   -2.63   -5.37        -4.98          -5.40           -4.20
>61.Kh4  -1.75   -5.58        -3.92          -5.40           -3.25
>...a4   -1.08   -5.51        -3.62          -5.09           -3.00
>62.f6   -.92    -3.60        -3.60          -3.95           -2.95
>...Rb8  -.37    -2.00        -2.90          -2.80           -2.46
>63.Bf3   .00    -.27         -1.38            .00           -2.44
>...
>64.g6   +.20    +.45           .00          +.37            +.19
>...Rd8  +3.50   +2.33        +3.88          +5.50(Qc2)      +4.36
>66.Qc2  +4.00   +4.75        +4.08          +5.15           +2.47
>69.Nxd5 +3.16   +7.06        +3.48          +5.40           +2.33
>...Kf7  +5.75   +7.35        +6.85          +7.50           +6.62
>71.Qf3  +6.10   +9.00        +10.85         +10.11          +8.44
>
>80...Kb6     mate in 11    stefan resigns
>
>with the above info all of my questions have been answered.
>i am not saying that any of these programs would have played the same lines as
>shredder to lead into this same game. but it is obvious that junior did not see
>the win any sooner than the other programs. although dj eval was lower than
>shredder considerably. shredder5 eval and large eval swing was a little more
>than the others. but most programs evals were similiar. also at move 71
>deep junior eval is still 3 points lower than others. so DJ7 eval is
>conservative on both ends.  it seems to me that deep junior had no idea
>that it could promote and mate, before the other programs could see this.
>but in this game deep junior played for the win, and was the victor.
>
>i also studied some of the key moves in this game. after using ct14 and deep
>shredder i found that on move 48...Bxf5, 49.exf5, the two pawns could now
>advance forward for the queen. in the Maastricht game shredder did not see
>this combination. instead if shredder had played 48...Nc2,
>shredder wins. of course i know this was just one game. but dj was running
>on 2x1533 and getting deep search. with this only one move change, shredder
>wins.   also slate and i tried another line with changing just one move in
>this game and shredder had a draw with slate. slate if you read this,
>i found another line that shredder could win.
>here is the one move change, 48...Nc2  that shredder wins this game.
>
>[Event "Maastrict  2001 with   move  48...Nc2"]
>[Site "?"]
>[Date "2001.12.22"]
>[Round "6"]
>[White "Deep Junior"]
>[Black "Shredder5"]
>[Result "0-1"]
>[SetUp "1"]
>[FEN "1r5k/2qb3p/3p3b/p3pN2/N3P1P1/2P1n1P1/6B1/R3Q2K b - -"]
>
>1... Nc2 2. Qd1 Nxa1 3. Nxh6 Bxa4 4. Qxa4 Nb3 5. g5 Nc5 6. Qa2
>Rf8 7. Qd5 a4 8. Nf5 a3 9. g4 Qd7 10. Qa2
>Qa4 11. Kh2 Nxe4  12. c4 Rb8  13. c5 Qb3 14. Qe2
>a2 15. Qa6 Qb2 16. Qa7  Rg8  17. g6 hxg6 18. Nh6
>a1=Q 19. Qxa1 Qxa1  20. Nxg8  Nc3  21. Kh3  Ne2  22. Ne7  0-1
>
>
>this is 48.Nf5
> [D] 1r5k/2qb3p/3p3b/p3pN2/N3P1P1/2P1n1P1/6B1/R3Q2K b - -
>
>here is the complete game.
>[Event "WMCCC"]
>[Site "Maastricht"]
>[Date "2001.08.22"]
>[Round "6"]
>[White "Junior"]
>[Black "Shredder"]
>[Result "1-0"]
>
>1. e4 c5 2. Nf3 d6 3. d4 cxd4 4. Nxd4 Nf6 5. Nc3 a6 6. Be3
>e6 7. Be2 Qc7 8. f4 b5 9. a3 Bb7 10. Bf3 Nbd7 11. Nde2 Rc8
>12. O-O Be7 13. Kh1 O-O 14. b4 Nb6 15. Qd3 Rfd8 16. f5 Nc4
>17. fxe6 fxe6 18. Bd4 Rd7 19. Bxf6 Bxf6 20. Bg4 Re7 21. Qh3
>Rce8 22. a4 bxa4 23. Bh5 Rf8 24. Bg4 Bc8 25. Rxa4 Ree8
>26. Raa1 g6 27. Qg3 Qb6 28. Bh3 Qxb4 29. Qd3 Bg7 30. Rfb1
>Qc5 31. Na4 Qc7 32. c3 Rf6 33. Nd4 Ref8 34. Nf3 Rf4 35. Nd4
>Re8 36. Rf1 Rxf1+ 37. Rxf1 Bd7 38. Ra1 Kh8 39. Qf1 g5
>40. Qd1 Ne5 41. g3 g4 42. Bg2 a5 43. Qc2 Rb8 44. Qc1 Nc4
>45. Qe1 Bh6 46. h3 Ne3 47. hxg4 e5 48. Nf5 Bxf5 49. exf5
>Nc2 50. Qd1 Nxa1 51. Qxa1 e4 52. Qd1 e3 53. Bf3 Bg7 54. Kg2
>Re8 55. Kh3 Qc4 56. Be2 Qc6 57. g5 Be5 58. Nb2 d5 59. Nd3
>Bxc3 60. Nf4 d4 61. Kh4 a4 62. f6 Rb8 63. Bf3 Qb5 64. g6
>Rd8 65. g7+ Kg8 66. Qc2 Rd6 67. Qa2+ Qb3 68. Bd5+ Rxd5
>69. Nxd5 Kf7 70. Qg2 d3 71. Qf3 Qb8 72. Qh5+ Ke6 73. Nxc3
>e2 74. Qg4+ Kf7 75. Kg5 h6+ 76. Kxh6 e1=Q 77. Qg6+ Ke6
>78. f7+ Kd7 79. Qxd3+ Kc7 80. Qc4+ Kb6 1-0
>
>final position. stefan resigns with two queens on board. 80...Qb6
>and mate in 11.
>
> [D] 1q6/5PP1/1k5K/8/p1Q5/2N3P1/8/4q3 w - -
>
>kburcham



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