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Subject: Re: CCL results 08-06-98

Author: Mark Young

Date: 16:26:44 06/10/98

Go up one level in this thread


On June 09, 1998 at 17:02:51, Ed Schröder wrote:

>>Posted by Christophe Theron on June 09, 1998 at 14:01:59:
>
>>>My view, in total 30 >>4:30 vs 45:00<< games will be played. Imagine
>>>the following possible scores:
>
>>>a) 4:30 vs 45:00   5 - 25    --> Speed is decisive.
>>>b) 4:30 vs 45:00  10 - 20    --> My expectation.
>>>c) 4:30 vs 45:00  13 - 17    --> Speed is not decisive.
>
>
>>I you use the top programs currently competing in CCL, my bet is that
>>you'll get the 5 - 25 result.
>
>It's an old discussion. My view is that going from 5 to 6 ply is a lot
>more worth than going from ply 12 to 13 and going from 12 to 13 ply will
>gain more elo than going from ply 18 to 19.
>
>IMO there comes a time (say about 10 years?) that a doubling of
>processor speed will gain only 2-5 elo points. How much worth is
>a doubling these days? A NPS tournament can reveal something about
>this.
>

Just for fun I tried to answer this. My data shows about a 45 point gain
in rating if you double the speed of a program running on a P II 266.

You would need a P II 93000
to get a 3.125 point elo gain, if you doubled its speed. Running todays
software.

It may not be right. But I gave it a try.:)








>My speculation is 10-20 as the current top programs at such fast
>machines are already so good that they can't be slaughtered with
>your suggested 5-25.
>
>- Ed -
>
>
>>This just will tell us nothing. I suppose you think differently. So can
>>you please explain what kind of lesson you are expecting from this?
>
>>But OK, as I said, this has to be done at least one time.
>
>>And BTW I hope to be wrong. I like to be surprised!
>
>>    Christophe



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