Computer Chess Club Archives


Search

Terms

Messages

Subject: Re: Fun with statistical fluctuation

Author: Dann Corbit

Date: 07:48:05 01/02/02

Go up one level in this thread


On January 01, 2002 at 19:31:02, Peter Kappler wrote:

>On January 01, 2002 at 18:48:38, Dann Corbit wrote:
>
>>But the amazing move is this one:
>>[D]1R6/k3rp1p/1p6/pP4p1/1P6/4qPB1/6PK/3R4 w - - bm Rdd8; am bxa5; c0 "WOW!";
>>
>>Absolutely incredible that Sjeng found Rdd8, since the vastly inferior bxa5
>>looks so good to programs.  Now, bxa5 is a good enough move to probably win
>>eventually.  But Rdd8 is a positive death blow!
>>
>>Which programs (after a good, long, think) choose Rdd8 over bxa5?
>>
>
>Grok plays Rdd8 instantly and sticks with it (I only ran for 5 minutes).
>
>But bxa5 certainly doesn't seem "vastly inferior", although maybe I didn't
>crunch Rdd8 long enough.  Can you post your analysis?

Amy after Rdd8:
17   14:28  -7.152  1. .. Re5 2. Rbc8 Kb7 3. Rc6 Qf4 4. Bxf4 gxf4 5. Rd7+ Kb8 6.
Rxb6+ Kc8 7. Rxf7 Rh5+ 8. Kg1 axb4 9. Rxf4 Kc7
        17   -715   86828242069766 1. .. Re5 2. Rbc8 Kb7 3. Rc6 Qf4 4. Bxf4 gxf4
5. Rd7+ Kb8 6. Rxb6+ Kc8 7. Rxf7 Rh5+ 8. Kg1 axb4 9. Rxf4 Kc7


Here is ChessMaster 8000's view of what happens after Rdd8:

Time	Depth	Score	Positions	Moves
7:05	7/11	7.20	78806287	1...Re5 2. Rbc8 Kb7 3. Rc6 Qf4
					4. Bxf4 gxf4 5. Rd7+ Kb8 6. Rxb6+
					Kc8 7. Rd4 a4 8. Rxf4 Re7 9. Rc6+
					Kb7 10. Ra6

Chess Tiger 14:
1R1R4/k3rp1p/1p6/pP4p1/1P6/4qPB1/6PK/8 b - - ce -684; acd 14; acs 300; pv Re5
Rbc8 Kb7 Rc6 Qf4 Rd7+ Kb8 Rxb6+ Kc8 Rbb7 Rxb5 Rxb5 Kxd7 Bxf4 gxf4 bxa5
Kc6;|Re7e5

Little Goliath sees only peril:
1R1R4/k3rp1p/1p6/pP4p1/1P6/4qPB1/6PK/8 b - - ce -795; acd 13; acs 300; pv Re5
Rbc8 Kb7 Rc6 Qe1 Rd7+ Kb8 Rdc7 Qxg3+ Kxg3 Re8;|Re7e5

Phalanx considers both the 3... Qf4 and 3... Qe1 ideas after Re5 and sees
destruction for both:
 12   -729 15677 31752400  Re7-e5  Rb8-c8  Ka7-b7  Rc8-c6  Qe3-e1  Rd8-d7
                           Kb7-b8  Rd7-c7  Qe1xg3  Kh2xg3  Re5-e8  Rc7xf7
                           Pa5xb4  Rc6xb6  Kb8-c8  Rf7xh7
 12 ->   2:40.48 32518346   0 turns
 13   -781 28553 57520877  Re7-e5  Rb8-c8  Ka7-b7  Rc8-c6  Qe3-f4  Rd8-d7
                           Kb7-b8  Rc6xb6  Kb8-c8  Bg3xf4  Pg5xf4  Rd7xf7
                           Pa5xb4  Rf7xf4  Re5-h5  Kh2-g3  Pb4-b3  Rf4-b4
                           Kc8-c7

Pepito is very interesting because he considers several different alternatives
(none of which turn out to be appetizing):
10  -523  3712 15877594  Re7-e5 Rb8-c8 Ka7-b7 Rc8-c6 f5 Rd8-d7 Kb7-b8 Rd7-c7
Re5-c5 Rc6xb6 Kb8-a8 b4xc5 f4 Rc7-c8 Ka8-a7 Rb6-a6 Ka7-b7
10  -502  7948 33710539  Qe3-e5 Bg3xe5 Re7xe5 b4xa5 b6xa5 b6 Ka7-a6 Rd8-d7
Re5-e2 Rd7xf7 h5 Rf7-a7 Ka6-b5 Kh2-g3
10  -502  7965 33796355  Qe3-e5 Bg3xe5 Re7xe5 b4xa5 b6xa5 b6 Ka7-a6 Rd8-d7
Re5-e2 Rd7xf7 h5 Rf7-a7 Ka6-b5 Kh2-g3
11  -535 13815 58457161  Qe3-e5 ?? Bg3xe5 Re7xe5 b4xa5 b6xa5 b6 Ka7-a6 Rd8-d7
Re5-e2 Rd7xf7 h5 Rf7-a7 Ka6-b5 Kh2-g3
11  -534 13842 58604993  Re7-e5 !!
11  -434 14363 60992218  Re7-e5 !!
11  -582 14621 62124519  Re7-e5 Rb8-c8 Ka7-b7 Rc8-c6 f5 Rd8-d7 Kb7-b8 Rd7-c7
Qe3xf3 g2xf3 Re5-e2 Kh2-g1 f4 Kg1-f1 Re2-d2
11  -582 15207 65113408  Re7-e5 Rb8-c8 Ka7-b7 Rc8-c6 f5 Rd8-d7 Kb7-b8 Rd7-c7
Qe3xf3 g2xf3 Re5-e2 Kh2-g1 f4 Kg1-f1 Re2-d2
12  -577 18853 82173933  Re7-e5 Rb8-c8 Ka7-b7 Rc8-c6 Qe3-f4 Bg3xf4 g5xf4 Rd8-d7
Kb7-b8 Rc6xb6 Kb8-c8 Rb6-b7 a5xb4 Rd7xf7 Re5-h5 Kh2-g1 b3
12  -576 23745 104753843  Qe3-f4 Bg3xf4 g5xf4 Rb8-a8 Ka7-b7 Rd8-b8 Kb7-c7 b4xa5
b6xa5 Ra8-a7 Kc7xb8 Ra7xe7 f6 b6 h5 Re7-a7 h4 Ra7xa5
12  -576 23816 105100200  Qe3-f4 Bg3xf4 g5xf4 Rb8-a8 Ka7-b7 Rd8-b8 Kb7-c7 b4xa5
b6xa5 Ra8-a7 Kc7xb8 Ra7xe7 f6 b6 h5 Re7-a7 h4 Ra7xa5
13  -605 30592 136517114  Re7-e5 Rb8-c8 Ka7-b7 Rc8-c6 Qe3-f4 Bg3xf4 g5xf4 Rd8-d7
Kb7-b8 Rc6xb6 Kb8-c8 Rb6-b7 Re5-h5 Kh2-g1 Rh5xb5 Rb7-c7 Kc8-b8 b4xa5 Rb5xa5
Rd7xf7
13  -605 33948 153324725  Re7-e5 Rb8-c8 Ka7-b7 Rc8-c6 Qe3-f4 Bg3xf4 g5xf4 Rd8-d7
Kb7-b8 Rc6xb6 Kb8-c8 Rb6-b7 Re5-h5 Kh2-g1 Rh5xb5 Rb7-c7 Kc8-b8 b4xa5 Rb5xa5
Rd7xf7
14  -610 56418 261077413  Re7-e5 Rb8-c8 Ka7-b7 Rc8-c6 Qe3-f4 Bg3xf4 g5xf4 Rd8-d7
Kb7-b8 Rd7-c7 Re5-e8 Rc7xf7 a5xb4 Rc6xb6 Kb8-c8 Rb6-c6 Kc8-d8 Rc6-d6 Kd8-c8
Rf7xf4

Yace sees gloom and doom:
 391670176 13:28.1  -6.82 14t  1...Re5 2.Rbc8 Kb7 3.Rc6 Qf4 4.Bxf4 gxf4 5.Rd7+
                               Kb8 6.Rxb6+ Kc8 7.Rbb7 Rxb5 8.Rxb5 Kxd7 9.bxa5
                               {HT} {-500}

Pharaon sees this:
13->  -726  233 59177703  Re5 Rbc8 Kb7 Rc6 Qf4 Bxf4 gxf4 Rd7 Kb8 bxa5 bxa5 Rb6
                          Kc8 Rxf7

Crafty's prognostication is for bad weather ahead:
1R1R4/k3rp1p/1p6/pP4p1/1P6/4qPB1/6PK/8 b - - acd 16; acn 630064392; acs 1000; ce
-799; pv Re5 Rbc8 Kb7 Rc6 Qd3 Rxd3 Rxb5 Rc7+ Ka6 bxa5 Rxa5 Bf2 f5 Rd6 Rb5 Rcc6
Rb2 Rxb6+ Rxb6 Bxb6;

Fritz responded with Qf4 which (as is plainly seen) loses immediately.



This page took 0 seconds to execute

Last modified: Thu, 15 Apr 21 08:11:13 -0700

Current Computer Chess Club Forums at Talkchess. This site by Sean Mintz.