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Subject: Re: Blue Storm

Author: Gian-Carlo Pascutto

Date: 05:03:50 01/10/02

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On January 10, 2002 at 07:48:26, Ed Schröder wrote:

>http://www.cnn.com/2001/TECH/industry/12/24/ibm.bluestorm.idg/index.html
>
>For the record, Blue Storm will contain 1.5PB (petabytes) of data by 2004, equal
>to 75,000 20GB PCs. And it will crunch 20 trillion calculations per second,
>meaning that if this reporter used a hand-held calculator to race Blue Storm to
>20 trillion calculations, I would be running behind by 17 million years,
>according to IBM.
>
>Also, chess players be warned, Blue Storm at its apex, will be 1,700 times
>faster than Deep Blue, the super computer that beat chess champion Garry
>Kasparov, IBM officials said.
>
>============
>
>I am sold, have ordered the thing with my VISA card.
>
>Anxious waiting for delivery, start porting Rebel, increase the maximum depth to
>256 ply. The end of computer chess.

Some math (all rude estimations)

20 trillion is 20*10^12 ins/s

assuming my Athlon XP has an ILP of 1.5, and runs at 1533Mhz, that gives

2 299 500 000 ins/s

It runs Rebel at about 700knps, so a node needs 3285 insns.

The Blue Strom will run at

6 088 280 061 nodes per second

times 3 minutes per move

1 095 890 410 980 nodes per move

Assuming an overall branching factor of 4 (this takes into account parallell
efficiency):

it would search...(drums rolling)...20 ply

I think chess can survive that.

--
GCP



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