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Subject: Re: Sometimes computers still aren't better than 2400's

Author: Roy Eassa

Date: 13:59:52 01/16/02

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On January 16, 2002 at 16:54:34, Russell Reagan wrote:

>On January 16, 2002 at 16:39:31, Roy Eassa wrote:
>
>>On January 16, 2002 at 16:14:10, Dann Corbit wrote:
>>
>>>On January 16, 2002 at 15:53:00, Joshua Lee wrote:
>>>[snip]
>>>>What i would like to know is when are programs going to not need an opening
>>>>book. The book didn't help chess tiger this game nor did having a huge speed
>>>>advantage i think for Black to realize he has made a mistake and will lose
>>>>requires a computer that runs over 5 ghz or faster??
>>>
>>>That's about 2 years from now (5GHz).
>>
>>
>>My guess is we'll see the first 5 GHz machines within 1.4 years.
>
>I thought that computing power approximately doubled every 18 months, which
>would put us at about 4.4 GHz in 1.5 years, which is less than 5GHz in 1.4
>years.
>
>Are the rates that computing speeds are increasing increasing?


I think it has turned out to be somewhere between 12 months and 18 months.  I
based my comment partly on that and partly on what I've read about Intel's
plans.




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