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Subject: Benefits of faster hardware

Author: Michael Fuhrmann

Date: 11:55:34 02/07/02



I wonder how much stronger today’s top programs can get without using faster
hardware.

It possible for these programs to get significantly better on current hardware?

If not, there may be some comfort in this:

Assuming

a) comps continue to double in speed every 1.5 years, and
b) that represents a gain of about 50 elo points,

A program rated 2400 on today’s PC hardware would reach an elo of 3000 in 20
years _ that is, the year 2022 _ with no improvements made to the software
whatsoever. That should be enough to beat any human on the planet rather
convincingly.




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