Author: Dann Corbit
Date: 12:49:58 02/07/02
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On February 07, 2002 at 14:55:34, Michael Fuhrmann wrote: > >I wonder how much stronger today’s top programs can get without using faster >hardware. > >It possible for these programs to get significantly better on current hardware? > >If not, there may be some comfort in this: > >Assuming > >a) comps continue to double in speed every 1.5 years, and >b) that represents a gain of about 50 elo points, > >A program rated 2400 on today’s PC hardware would reach an elo of 3000 in 20 >years _ that is, the year 2022 _ with no improvements made to the software >whatsoever. That should be enough to beat any human on the planet rather >convincingly. What happens if the humans increase in ability even faster? For instance, I think if you transport Kasparov back in time, he will whip the snot out of Paul Morphy. Better opening theory, better practice tools, etc.
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