Author: Chris Carson
Date: 11:47:48 02/22/02
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On February 22, 2002 at 14:33:07, Paul Doire wrote: >If Bobby Fisher at his peak was about 2800 elo and now Kasparov >is about 2820 elo (+/- 20-30 elo)....then GM's haven't improved >nearly as much as programs have over the last 20-30 years. > >Isn't it quite likely that at the current rate of improvement for >computer chess (just looking at the last 10 years)...that inevitably >between advances in hardware and software a computer will be world champion >caliber and/or World Champion in less than another 10 years? > >Even if GM's improve they will not improve at nearly the same pace as computer >chess . > >Paul My opinion is that your 2005 from a different thread is closer to the time when software/PC's can win a match from the World Champ. I think in 8 years we will see total dominance by software/PC's, but the GM's will still win a game from time to time. It is just a function of sw improvement and hw speedup. Just my 2 cents.
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