Author: Keith Ian Price
Date: 09:53:23 06/28/98
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On June 27, 1998 at 17:25:00, Fernando Villegas wrote: > > > > >On June 26, 1998 at 21:53:51, Mark Young wrote: > >>On June 26, 1998 at 20:49:51, Fernando Villegas wrote: >> >>>Hi all: >>>With more than one thousand people having already visited the poll to cast his >>>votes, a simple but fundamental preliminarty conclusion can be held: in the >>>tribe of professional consummers or "serious" player there is not one great >>>favourite program. Chessmaster, the one with the better votation, has been or is >>>possesed by only 10% of the people at any time. The dispertion is amazing. I >>>have not made out any statiscal calculation so far, but at simple sight the fact >>>appears bluntly. What this means? What implies? This is something to think about >>>a while. A first thought it comes to me is that professional developers of chess >>>software face an increasingly difficult situation as much as they are not >>>capable of reaching mass market AND at the same time the tiny populations of >>>potential customers for his products does not concentrate his purchasing power >>>in nobody, not yet at least and maybe never will do. A concentration could >>>ensure the survival of some of them, althought with many losers; the actual >>>situation guarantee the lose of all of them, in "masse". I hope to be mistaken. >>>Next couple of years maybe will tell. Who knows. >>>fernando >> >>You may have jumped the gun here. I'm not sure if 1283 people voted, or just >>1238 total votes have been cast. It says 1283 total votes, not voters. Since one >>person can cast up to 41 votes, don't we need to first find out how many voters >>we had voting, before we can draw any conclusions? > > > >Hi marK: >Yes, you are right and I am wrong. Nevertheless, if at the end results keeps >inside this tendency, then I keep my for now mistaken words. >Fernando Fernando-- I think that all this poll indicates is that people on CCC own multiple copies of various chess programs. If we were to ask people to vote for any digit from 0 to 9 that they have ever used, we would see that each digit would only have 10% of the total votes cast, but 100% usage would be the case, as everyone would choose every digit, if they answered truthfully. So nothing about market share can be determined, since this poll includes programs that are off the market, and some very old ones. kp
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