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Subject: Re: Test positions.

Author: Don Dailey

Date: 19:56:04 06/29/98

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On June 28, 1998 at 23:11:24, Mark Young wrote:

>I know this was a tough question to answer, but who better to ask then chess
>programmers. I find it a good sign that both you and Amir think we are still in
>are infancy as far as the programs themselves go. I guess we could also count Ed
>in this group to, as shown by his attempt with Rebel 10 s anti-GM concept. Do
>you think the progress with chess programs will remain at its currently slow
>pace, Or is it still possible for some programmer to get a huge jump on the rest
>of the chess programming field?


I think it's possible but probably not too likely.  If someone comes
up with a really substantial breakthrough then we could see someone
leap ahead, but they would have to have a strong program already.

The gap in strength between the best programs and the weaker ones
is pretty large.  If one of the weaker programs were improved by
a real breakthough that would add 100 rating points to any program,
it might only be enough to get them close to the top.  If the
breakthrough was shared with everyone then we would see impressive
movement in computer chess!

I really expect to see slow steady progress and gradual refinements.
I do believe the ultimate program (on current hardware) is a whole
lot stronger than anything we have right now.  As some philosophers
would say, this program already exists, but is waiting to be
discovered.

- Don



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