Author: Terry McCracken
Date: 20:33:38 03/06/02
Go up one level in this thread
On March 06, 2002 at 15:52:50, ALI MIRAFZALI wrote: >On March 06, 2002 at 02:49:48, Joshua Lee wrote: > >>Ok really Any program as strong as Rebel Century is over 2300 but let me put >>this in perspective : Rebel lost two games for which it performed 400elo less >>than it's opponent. Rebel won two games but how many people can Beat Rebel. >>To beat Rebel once in 1000 games you would have to be within 399.2elo >>We don't yet know exatly what Rebel's elo would be so for safety's sake 2697 >>because that's what it's performance was. To beat Van Wely 1 out of 100 games >>Rebel would have to be atleast 2305 , 1 game out of 50 : 2313elo , 1 game in >>10 : 2377elo , we don't know how the performance would turn out if 20+ games >>were played but what if rebel lost the rest +2 -22 which equates to 2363elo >>So in my opinion more games are needed to get a more accurate picture. >>To win 2 out of 1000 Rebel had to be atleast 2298elo (within 398.4elo) , 2 out >>of 100 2313elo (within 384) 2 out of 50 2329 (within 368), 2 out of 25 2361elo >>(within 336) I can say for sure that Rebel is over 2300 but by how much?? >>To win 2 out of 6 Rebel would have to be 2563 (within 134 elo) >>So to recap Rebel is within 800elo 1897 too low , within 400 ..2297elo this >>still sounds too low .... >>To win 2 out of 8 Rebel Had to be atleast 2497 (within 200elo) this sounds right >>as well as 2377. 2 out of 10 means that rebel is 2457 or within 240elo) >>this sound reasonable as Rebel would have to be somewhere within 300elo to score >>a win in the first place and secondly Rebel had played many other GM's on weaker >>Hardware and it's average after many games was over 2400 >> >>To beat rebel one would have to be within 400elo of whatever rating it is, >>There are 3009 people on the FIDE list with a rating of 2377 so I would like to >>see more games or i would like to see if it can get an actual FIDE rating. >> >>I didn't figure out draws so it could be very acurate even with the four games >>but it is possible that there are lots of draws , and a few more wins maybe one >>more >> >> >>It would've been nice if just one more game had been played as even if Rebel >>Lost this would put it at 2617 performance and in my opinion more than 4 games >>is always necessary to tell if one player is stronger than the other. I think >>Statistics Agree. >> >>I would like to hear what others think the outcome would be if more games are >>played. >If more games were played the GM would have been crushed completely.AS I have >said before you underestimate Computers immensely. Computers "underestimate" me! :o)
This page took 0 seconds to execute
Last modified: Thu, 15 Apr 21 08:11:13 -0700
Current Computer Chess Club Forums at Talkchess. This site by Sean Mintz.