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Subject: Re: Is Fritz 5.32 stronger than Fritz 7??? Strange test [Quite normal]

Author: Kurt Utzinger

Date: 23:31:22 03/12/02

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Hi Tanja

There is nothing strange:

You have still not played enough games. I give below an example of a match
[40'/40] I had played some time ago over 100 games between Gandalf 4.32g and
Program_X [I am a beta tester of X] to show what I mean:

Gandalf 4.32g vs Program X

Games 1-10 [win Gandalf]
3.0-7.0 (total 3.0-7.0)

Games 11-20 [win Gandalf]
6.5-3.5 (total 9.5-10.5)

Games 21-30 [draw]
5.0-5.0 (total 14.5-15.5)

Games 31-40 [win program X]
3.5-6.5 (total 18.0-22.0)

Games 41-50 [win program X]
4.5-5.5 (total 22.5-27.5)

Games 51-60 [win program X]
3.0-7.0 (total 25.5-34.5)

Games 61-70 [draw]
5.0-5.0 (total 30.5-39.5)

Games 71-80 [win Gandalf]
8.0-2.0 (total 38.5-41.5)

Games 81-90 [win Gandalf]
7.0-3.0 (total 45.5-44.5)

Games 91-100 [win Gandalf]
5.5-4.5 (total 51.0-49.0)

Can anybody tell me for sure which of the above two is the stronger program??
And what about if I had only played a 20 games match and these games would have
been those played in rounds 71-90? Then, the result would have been 15.0-5.0 in
favour of Gandalf 4.32g!! Imagine what some testers would have argued about the
strenght of program X? For all these reasons I think that something concrete
about the strength between two programs can only be said if 100, better 200-300
games or even more have been played.
Kurt



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