Author: stuart taylor
Date: 07:11:28 03/19/02
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On March 19, 2002 at 09:02:08, Chris Carson wrote: >On March 19, 2002 at 08:39:33, stuart taylor wrote: > >>Or even longer, and even not ULTIMATE perfection, just very close. >>If so, please make it now, even if it be only 3000 elo (reliably) in 48 hours >>per move with top hardware today. >> Then that program wouldn't need upgrading, as quicker hardware will "upgrade" >>its performance automatically. And it will be indisposable even now for those >>who really want excellent and perfect, super GM analysis. >>S.Taylor > >Tiger, Rebel, Junior, Fritz (others) are 2700-2800 on 2Ghz machines today. That >is at 40/2 time or about 3min/move. Each doubling of speed adds 75 points, so >if you want to get to 3000, double the time/move twice wich will get you 150pts. > 3 doubled once is 6 and doubled twice is 12min/move. This will be the same >analysis as two doublings of HW speed at 3min/move. > >Freeware programs are about 100 to 150 behind the commercials, so you will have >to double 12 twice, which is a lot of time. I can hardly believe it is exactly like that. In fact, very far from that. First doubling might add 75 elo, next time 40, then, 15, 5 etc. If todays best is really 2700-2800, then maybe it would reach 3000, though not against top humans who have become familiar with it. And, if you should say that ultimate chess is about 4,000 elo, then I would want my above mentioned idea of a program to max out at around 3500-3600 elo. S.Taylor
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