Author: Roy Eassa
Date: 07:55:01 04/12/02
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On April 11, 2002 at 19:22:59, Chritopher A. Morgan wrote: >I find the poll re the upcoming Smirin-Computers tournament at Kasparov chess >very interesting. Although not scientific, it is safe to assume that those >taking the poll follow the developments in human-computer matches, tournaments, >etc. The poll takers believe Smirin, a 2700 player, about #15 in the world, >will be beaten by the computers by about a 44% to 39% margin of the poll takers. >There are four programs playing Smirin, three off the shelf, I believe, and one >Hiarcs 8 soon to be released. The hardware is nothing spectacular, commercially >available PCs. > >It seems clear to me that the currently available software on commercially >available PCs, based on recent results, is playing at the upper levels of GM >strength, most likely 2650+, or more. To say that they can only play at 2500 or >so is just simply not true any lomger. Tens of thousands of hours of research and programming have been spent (over several years) to develop the ability for a computer to win a game that had been played previously only by humans. Maybe someday tens of thousands of hours will be spent by GMs to develop the ability for to win a game that had been played previously only by computers. The human skill of beating strong computer chess opponents is still in its infancy. Yet even this early, there are non-GMs who consistently score well against the top programs. If and when that new skill is improved, spread around, and finally adopted by the top GMs, we may see very different results. Or maybe not. We'll just have to wait and see.
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