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Subject: Re: GM Smirin vs 4 comps - Match Predictions

Author: Terry McCracken

Date: 00:04:52 04/17/02

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On April 17, 2002 at 01:31:51, Joe Little wrote:

>On April 16, 2002 at 18:28:36, Otello Gnaramori wrote:
>
>>On April 16, 2002 at 17:19:13, martin fierz wrote:
>>>a program which plays a game like shredder vs.
>>>smirin is just not GM strength. it is 3000+ in tactics and 2000- in positional
>>>play.
>>
>>I think that chess is made over 90% of tactics... so 2700+ is not an optimistic
>>evaluation.
>>
>>Regards,
>>Otello
>
>
> I agree, seems pretty obvious to me but who am I?

Yes Chess is 90% tactics at least, maybe even 95%! But that would still only
mean that programmes play around 2700 level in tactics only, not in positional
play and planning, which is _fundamental_ and till a programme aquires this
skill in won't be a _complete_ Grandmaster.

Planning is many years away, positional play is advanced a long ways but still
needs improvement.

Computers will play 2800+ in tactics long before it can actually manage deep
positional play, let alone planning.

When _all_ weak areas are finally addressed, Computers will be stronger than a
GM and will win almost all the time, but that is likely many years down the
road.

However they may be still beating GM's almost consistently when Computers are at
2800+ at tactics.

Only the best anti-computer play will succeed, against them, although there will
still be a few players who will win without using anti-computer play, but not
many.

Terry



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