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Subject: Re: GM Smirin vs 4 comps - Match Predictions

Author: Chris Carson

Date: 11:19:02 04/17/02

Go up one level in this thread


On April 17, 2002 at 14:10:28, Terry McCracken wrote:

>On April 17, 2002 at 13:28:28, Chris Carson wrote:
>
>>On April 17, 2002 at 13:23:11, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>
>>>On April 17, 2002 at 12:19:15, Chris Carson wrote:
>>>
>>>>On April 17, 2002 at 10:58:13, Terry McCracken wrote:
>>>>
>>>>>On April 17, 2002 at 09:07:04, Chris Carson wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>>On April 17, 2002 at 03:33:12, Uri Blass wrote:
>>>>>>
>>>>>>>On April 17, 2002 at 03:04:52, Terry McCracken wrote:
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>On April 17, 2002 at 01:31:51, Joe Little wrote:
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>On April 16, 2002 at 18:28:36, Otello Gnaramori wrote:
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>On April 16, 2002 at 17:19:13, martin fierz wrote:
>>>>>>>>>>>a program which plays a game like shredder vs.
>>>>>>>>>>>smirin is just not GM strength. it is 3000+ in tactics and 2000- in positional
>>>>>>>>>>>play.
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>I think that chess is made over 90% of tactics... so 2700+ is not an optimistic
>>>>>>>>>>evaluation.
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>Regards,
>>>>>>>>>>Otello
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>> I agree, seems pretty obvious to me but who am I?
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>Yes Chess is 90% tactics at least, maybe even 95%! But that would still only
>>>>>>>>mean that programmes play around 2700 level in tactics only, not in positional
>>>>>>>>play and planning, which is _fundamental_ and till a programme aquires this
>>>>>>>>skill in won't be a _complete_ Grandmaster.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>Planning is many years away, positional play is advanced a long ways but still
>>>>>>>>needs improvement.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>Computers will play 2800+ in tactics long before it can actually manage deep
>>>>>>>>positional play, let alone planning.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>I think that computers are 2800+ in tactic even today and it is not something
>>>>>>>about the future.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>tactics is not only long combinations but mainly short combinations.
>>>>>>>No human can see every short combination that programs has no chance to miss.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>Uri
>>>>>>
>>>>>>I agree with you Uri.  I would add that computers still have some problems with
>>>>>>chess knowledge, however they make up for it with tactics.  I would also add
>>>>>>that Planning and Preparation are the keys (or just plain luck) to beating the
>>>>>>comps.  Do you have any additional ideas on beating the comps?
>>>>>>
>>>>>>I also agree with your evaluation on opening preparation.  I see no ethical
>>>>>>reason why a program must use a known book.  GM's get to use any
>>>>>>book/preparation they choose, it is only fair that the comps get to change their
>>>>>>books. (This discussion was in a different part of this thread).
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>What's your rating Chris as you need to be 2800 to know whether or not
>>>>>Comps./Programmes have attained this level of sophistication.
>>>>
>>>>My rating is in my profile.  It is nowhere near 2800.  You have posted your
>>>>opinion on short vs long tactics in this and other threads, I wonder if you
>>>>follow the "need to be 2800 to know" rule for yourself?  My opinion is just
>>>>that.  If you do not like it, I can live with that.
>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>Kasparov and Kramnik say todays' programmes on top PC's are not 2800+ in the
>>>>>tactical arena.
>>>>
>>>>Well, Kramnik recently said that Fritz 7 on 8-processors "definitely be over
>>>>2800 in its Elo performance".  Last time I checked, that was ELO 2800+ and I
>>>>believe it to be higher in tactics than in positional play.
>>>>See: http://www.chessbase.com/newsdetail.asp?newsid=255
>>>>
>>>>I doubt you can support your statement with a more recent Kramnik quote.
>>>>
>>>
>>>Just as surely as I believe that the statement by Kramnik is pure pre-match
>>>hyperbole, having nothing to do with facts at all.  As Kasparov has stated
>>>although again, I would take _his_ statements with a grain of salt as well as
>>>everybody has an agenda in this circumstance...
>>>
>>>But forget the 2800+ stuff.  It ain't gonna happen...
>>
>>I agree with you.  GM Kramnik will win easily.  I was responding to the person
>>above, not sure why you answered?
>>
>>>Yes you were, but I agree with Robert, alot of hype. I've it read all and conclude, Kramnik is good at promoting the match, it's important to get people
>really interested in "Computer vs Man" once again, then procceed to trounce the
>daylights out of the machine!:o) But I suspect he'll put on a good show playing
>it safe with many Black draws to secure the win and the $1,000,000 USD:)
>
>Sorry for bring up rating etc. and yes I read your profile your an expert, a
>good player.
>
>I just get frustrated with all the hype. You do some interesting stuff even if I
>don't fully concur with your opinions.

Well, feel free to disagree with me.  I am often wrong and people catch me at
it.  :)  I get frustrated to with the hype and carried away at times.

>
>I think CTF is wearing off on me! Yuck!
>
>So forgive my remark if you can? It was inappropriate.
>
>Terry
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>They miss too much in long range tactics due to the "Horizon Effect".
>>>>>
>>>>>Terry



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