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Subject: Re: GM Smirin vs 4 comps - Match Predictions

Author: Robert Hyatt

Date: 13:00:50 04/17/02

Go up one level in this thread


On April 17, 2002 at 13:28:28, Chris Carson wrote:

>On April 17, 2002 at 13:23:11, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>
>>On April 17, 2002 at 12:19:15, Chris Carson wrote:
>>
>>>On April 17, 2002 at 10:58:13, Terry McCracken wrote:
>>>
>>>>On April 17, 2002 at 09:07:04, Chris Carson wrote:
>>>>
>>>>>On April 17, 2002 at 03:33:12, Uri Blass wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>>On April 17, 2002 at 03:04:52, Terry McCracken wrote:
>>>>>>
>>>>>>>On April 17, 2002 at 01:31:51, Joe Little wrote:
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>On April 16, 2002 at 18:28:36, Otello Gnaramori wrote:
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>On April 16, 2002 at 17:19:13, martin fierz wrote:
>>>>>>>>>>a program which plays a game like shredder vs.
>>>>>>>>>>smirin is just not GM strength. it is 3000+ in tactics and 2000- in positional
>>>>>>>>>>play.
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>I think that chess is made over 90% of tactics... so 2700+ is not an optimistic
>>>>>>>>>evaluation.
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>Regards,
>>>>>>>>>Otello
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> I agree, seems pretty obvious to me but who am I?
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>Yes Chess is 90% tactics at least, maybe even 95%! But that would still only
>>>>>>>mean that programmes play around 2700 level in tactics only, not in positional
>>>>>>>play and planning, which is _fundamental_ and till a programme aquires this
>>>>>>>skill in won't be a _complete_ Grandmaster.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>Planning is many years away, positional play is advanced a long ways but still
>>>>>>>needs improvement.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>Computers will play 2800+ in tactics long before it can actually manage deep
>>>>>>>positional play, let alone planning.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>I think that computers are 2800+ in tactic even today and it is not something
>>>>>>about the future.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>tactics is not only long combinations but mainly short combinations.
>>>>>>No human can see every short combination that programs has no chance to miss.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>Uri
>>>>>
>>>>>I agree with you Uri.  I would add that computers still have some problems with
>>>>>chess knowledge, however they make up for it with tactics.  I would also add
>>>>>that Planning and Preparation are the keys (or just plain luck) to beating the
>>>>>comps.  Do you have any additional ideas on beating the comps?
>>>>>
>>>>>I also agree with your evaluation on opening preparation.  I see no ethical
>>>>>reason why a program must use a known book.  GM's get to use any
>>>>>book/preparation they choose, it is only fair that the comps get to change their
>>>>>books. (This discussion was in a different part of this thread).
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>What's your rating Chris as you need to be 2800 to know whether or not
>>>>Comps./Programmes have attained this level of sophistication.
>>>
>>>My rating is in my profile.  It is nowhere near 2800.  You have posted your
>>>opinion on short vs long tactics in this and other threads, I wonder if you
>>>follow the "need to be 2800 to know" rule for yourself?  My opinion is just
>>>that.  If you do not like it, I can live with that.
>>>
>>>>
>>>>Kasparov and Kramnik say todays' programmes on top PC's are not 2800+ in the
>>>>tactical arena.
>>>
>>>Well, Kramnik recently said that Fritz 7 on 8-processors "definitely be over
>>>2800 in its Elo performance".  Last time I checked, that was ELO 2800+ and I
>>>believe it to be higher in tactics than in positional play.
>>>See: http://www.chessbase.com/newsdetail.asp?newsid=255
>>>
>>>I doubt you can support your statement with a more recent Kramnik quote.
>>>
>>
>>Just as surely as I believe that the statement by Kramnik is pure pre-match
>>hyperbole, having nothing to do with facts at all.  As Kasparov has stated
>>although again, I would take _his_ statements with a grain of salt as well as
>>everybody has an agenda in this circumstance...
>>
>>But forget the 2800+ stuff.  It ain't gonna happen...
>
>I agree with you.  GM Kramnik will win easily.  I was responding to the person
>above, not sure why you answered?

I was responding to the 2800+ nonsense quote by Kramnik...  Also it is
pretty obvious that ChessBase can't be trusted either as they have a vested
interest in as much hyperbole as they can possibly produce (similar to IBM
and the DB97 match in fact).

>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>>>
>>>>They miss too much in long range tactics due to the "Horizon Effect".
>>>>
>>>>Terry



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