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Subject: Re: GM, programs, and the draw era

Author: Slater Wold

Date: 15:59:14 04/22/02

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On April 22, 2002 at 16:31:35, martin fierz wrote:

>On April 22, 2002 at 10:04:47, Slater Wold wrote:
>
>>On April 22, 2002 at 09:17:57, K. Burcham wrote:
>>
>>>
>>>
>>>most here have witnessed the different levels of program and hardware strength
>>>increases over the years.
>>>the programs used to be looked at as a toy, or a novelty.
>>>then the programs could beat a master.
>>>then the programs could beat a GM but with lots of losses.
>>>it seems now we are witnessing another phase of this growth.
>>>there are more GM losing to programs, but the difference is
>>>  that the GM cannot win like he used to. now it seems we are
>>>going through a period of 4 out of 5, GM vs program games, being
>>>drawn.
>>>
>>>i feel that when someone can play 30 games against a variety
>>>of GM's, and draw almost every game, and occasionally win one,
>>>it would be very difficult for me to not call him a GM.
>>>
>>>also we know what the next logical level is here, once we get through
>>>this draw era. i think all here will witness the evolution of this
>>>next level, less draws and more wins. i think in this next level,
>>>it will become acceptable to all, to address programs as GM level.
>>>kburcham
>>
>>There are a few flaws here, I think.
>>
>>If a GM wants a draw against a computer, he gets the draw.  Period.  Taking
>>chances, and trying to get a win, is where GMs usually lose.
>>
>>This does NOT work against other GMs.  I can't remember his name, but I once
>>heard a GM say, about Fischer, "I only wanted a draw, and yet, I resign in 20.
>>Everytime, the same thing.  Play for draw, resign a few moves later."
>>
>>Therefore, I think the GM kind of "controls" the computer.  Think about this;
>>
>>If Smirin wins, he gets a lot of money.  If he draws, he gets a lot of money.
>>If he loses, he gets some money.
>
>like, for every win more he gets 1000$ more? it's not a HUGE payday, but on the
>other hand, getting 1500$ instead of 500 for playing 2 hours of chess is not
>something he would decline, i think...
>in the gulko-comps match and in the van wely - rebel match you could also see
>that the statement "GMs control comps" didnt work out particularly well when the
>GM was black. the really stupid choice of KID exchange by tiger and hiarcs made
>it easy for smirin as black... deep shredder is putting a lot more pressure on
>smirin right now.
>
>
>>He's going to get the easy wins, and draw every other game.  Not because he
>>can't win, but because he cannot afford to lose.  You have to take risks to win
>>against a computer, and those risks probably aren't worth $5k, or something to
>>that effect.
>
>the rules: 0 for a loss, 500 for a draw, 1500 for a win, guaranteed minimum
>prize 2500 for smirin. he already had that money after 3 games. why would he not
>play for wins, in the hope of getting one win and one loss instead of 2 draws?
>
>aloha
>  martin

Oh geez, I don't know.  $1k or so dollars maybe?!

>
>
>>
>>Get a 2700 Elo GM, and tell him, "Beat this computer, get $1M.  Draw or lose,
>>you get nothing."  And you'll see a GM smash a computer.  You have to make the
>>prize money ridiculous though, in order to make up for that fact that if he
>>loses, he doesn't get jack.
>>
>>I personally think that computers are, at their best, around 2600 Elo.  Which of
>>course, is GM strength.  But I also think that #1 - #5 in the world would make
>>these programs look silly.  But you'll probably never see that.  :(



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