Author: Robert Hyatt
Date: 21:14:28 04/22/02
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On April 22, 2002 at 12:12:48, Dana Turnmire wrote: >I have a book entitled "How Computers Play Chess" by David Levy and Monty >Newborn (1991). In the first chapter (page 7) there is a list of grandmasters >and programmers who predict the year a chess computer will defeat the human >world chess champion in a match. I don't consider the short match between >Kasparov and the IBM super computer to be an "official" match under normal world >championship conditions. So as far as I am concerned the question is still >open. Actually the question was answered in 1997. :) 6 games _is_ a match. And since the FIDE WC has dispensed with the old long match format, the 1997 match was actually better than the last few FIDE WC matches. > >Here is the list of estimates of the year in which a computer will defeat the >world human chess champion. > >Year > >1992 Gyula Horvath; Monty Newborn. > >1993 John McCarthy. > >1994 I.M. Hans Berliner; Marty Hirsch; Feng-hsiung Hsu. > >1995 Murray Campbell; Larry Kaufmann; David Kittinger; I.M. Danny Kopec, Donald >Michie; David Slate; I.M. Mike Valvo. > >1997 John Stanback. > >1998 Kevin O'Connell. > >1999 Ed Felton; Tom Pronk; Sidney Samole; Claude Shannon; Jos Uiterwijk. > >2000 Robert Hyatt; G.M. Kevin Spraggett; Victor Vikhrev; Jaap van den Herik. > >2001 Jurg Nievergelt; Mark Taylor. > >2002 I.M. Julio Kaplan. > >2005 Richard Lang; Pierre Nolot; Ard van Bergen. > >2008 Harry Nelson. > >2010 Don Daily; Ossi Weiner. > >2011 Lars Hjorth. > >2013 Tony Scherzer. > >2014 I.M. David Levy. > >2020 Tony Marsland. > >2025 Dap Hartmann. > >2030 Franz Morsch. > >2040 Jonathan Schaeffer. > >2050 Harm Bakker. > >2056 Helmut Horacek. > >NEVER David Cahlander.
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