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Subject: Re: Estimates of Year Computer Will Defeat World Human Champion

Author: Mark Young

Date: 23:04:32 04/22/02

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On April 23, 2002 at 00:14:28, Robert Hyatt wrote:

>On April 22, 2002 at 12:12:48, Dana Turnmire wrote:
>
>>I have a book entitled "How Computers Play Chess" by David Levy and Monty
>>Newborn (1991).  In the first chapter (page 7) there is a list of grandmasters
>>and programmers who predict the year a chess computer will defeat the human
>>world chess champion in a match.  I don't consider the short match between
>>Kasparov and the IBM super computer to be an "official" match under normal world
>>championship conditions.  So as far as I am concerned the question is still
>>open.
>
>Actually the question was answered in 1997.
>
>:)
>
>6 games _is_ a match.  And since the FIDE WC has dispensed with the old
>long match format, the 1997 match was actually better than the last few
>FIDE WC matches.

Yes, you are correct. This quesition has already been answered. 1997!!! like it
or not.

>
>
>
>
>
>>
>>Here is the list of estimates of the year in which a computer will defeat the
>>world human chess champion.
>>
>>Year
>>
>>1992  Gyula Horvath; Monty Newborn.
>>
>>1993  John McCarthy.
>>
>>1994  I.M. Hans Berliner; Marty Hirsch; Feng-hsiung Hsu.
>>
>>1995  Murray Campbell; Larry Kaufmann; David Kittinger; I.M. Danny Kopec, Donald
>>Michie; David Slate; I.M. Mike Valvo.
>>
>>1997  John Stanback.
>>
>>1998  Kevin O'Connell.
>>
>>1999  Ed Felton; Tom Pronk; Sidney Samole; Claude Shannon; Jos Uiterwijk.
>>
>>2000  Robert Hyatt; G.M. Kevin Spraggett; Victor Vikhrev; Jaap van den Herik.
>>
>>2001  Jurg Nievergelt; Mark Taylor.
>>
>>2002  I.M. Julio Kaplan.
>>
>>2005  Richard Lang; Pierre Nolot; Ard van Bergen.
>>
>>2008  Harry Nelson.
>>
>>2010  Don Daily; Ossi Weiner.
>>
>>2011  Lars Hjorth.
>>
>>2013  Tony Scherzer.
>>
>>2014  I.M. David Levy.
>>
>>2020  Tony Marsland.
>>
>>2025  Dap Hartmann.
>>
>>2030  Franz Morsch.
>>
>>2040  Jonathan Schaeffer.
>>
>>2050  Harm Bakker.
>>
>>2056  Helmut Horacek.
>>
>>NEVER  David Cahlander.



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