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Subject: Re: Estimates of Year Computer Will Defeat World Human Champion

Author: Robert Hyatt

Date: 11:00:54 04/23/02

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On April 22, 2002 at 21:57:23, Russell Reagan wrote:

>On April 22, 2002 at 19:59:58, Fernando Villegas wrote:
>
>>No, sir. We are not talking of a six games tourn, but something like the real
>>thing.
>>Fernando
>
>The original poster stated, and I quote (again), "predict the year a chess
>computer will defeat the human world chess champion in a match." There were no
>qualifications regarding the length of the match, the time controls of the
>match, or anything else regarding the match other than the fact that it was a
>match against the human world chess champion. That has been done and the
>computer won. Good game, you lose.
>
>Russell


The length of the match wasn't specified.  But this question has _always_
referenced tournament conditions (40/2hr) rather than blitz.  Otherwise
the question would have been answered in the early to middle 80's when the
supercomputers simply couldn't be beat in blitz matches by anyone.

I've never seen anyone particularly interested in (say) game/30 or game/60.
From the first time I played chess until the last 10 years or so, WC chess
was played at 40/2 or 45/2.5 time controls.  In the last 10 years FIDE has
changed this significantly, of course.  But the book referenced was written
in the 40/2 days.  that was why the Fredkin prize specifically required 40/2
for the time controls, otherwise the stage II prize would have been won much
earlier than 1992 or so...



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