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Subject: Re: A Prediction of 40 Years Ago

Author: Slater Wold

Date: 22:31:50 04/25/02

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On April 26, 2002 at 01:16:31, Dana Turnmire wrote:

>I must say that for a long time I kept hope alive that computers would never be
>able to dominate the top human players in a serious match.  Needless to say this
>very thing is in the process of happening as we sit here.  In 1963 I.A. Horowitz
>and P.L. Rothenberg wrote a book entitled "The Complete Book of Chess."  In
>chapter 19 ("The Future of Chess") they write:
>
>"That a richly endowed robot will one day be able to play a highly skillful game
>of Chess leaves no room for doubt.  On the other hand, in the absence of a
>fantastic superspeed electronic brain, the Chess championship of the world is
>likely to be retained by humans for centuries to come."
>
>I don't know what "superspeed" meant back in 1963 but it seems that in the near
>future a simple desktop computer with a 50$ chess program will be able to take
>on the human world champion and win.  Sad to me.

I think 2.0Ghz (the least amount of mhz used in the GM games of late) pretty
much defines "superspeed" of 1963.



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