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Subject: Re: ELO & statistics question

Author: Gian-Carlo Pascutto

Date: 13:19:34 04/26/02

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On April 26, 2002 at 16:12:49, Ratko V Tomic wrote:

>>I presume you mean +- 1/sqrt(N) ?
>>
>>>From that you can get the
>>>upper and lower values for probabilities (normalized
>>>scores).
>
>I was using +/-sqrt(N) for absolute error. The relative
>(normalized to N) error is then 1/sqrt(N), as implied
>in my next sentence.

Ok, so if I get it right:

for score 10/20

error is +- 4.47

95% confidence interval is 1.06 - 18.94  / 20

It looks to me like this will fall apart on the edges,
i.e. the stat needs to take into account the scores are
bounded into 0-20 interval.

--
GCP



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