Author: Louis Fagliano
Date: 14:53:48 04/29/02
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On April 29, 2002 at 12:51:09, stuart taylor wrote: >On April 29, 2002 at 12:27:38, jjjj wrote: > >> >>Anyone know when the next version come ? > >You look like a new member. > This question has been asked countless times, but Christophe doesn't like >answering it. Maybe this time he WILL! >It is also possible that the longer it takes, the stronger it will be, and he >DOES have quite a bit of work to do, to ensure it will be stronger than all >existing programs. >But I hope the next Tiger will do the trick, and that it will be very soon. >S.Taylor Maybe it will be very soon. But maybe not. Look at the time it took between Hiarcs 7.32 and Hiarcs 8 -- two years. Is the increase in strength between Hiarcs 7.32 and Hiarcs 8 what you'd expect from two years of waiting? A long time between releases of a program do not necessarily mean a large quantum leap in strength. In fact, large quantum leaps in strength are just about impossibile barring the inception of some fantasic fundamental new idea in chess programming. It may very well be two years before we see Chess Tiger 15.0 and the increase in strength will be about the same interval difference there is between the Hiarcs' programs. Another way of looking at is to imagine that there never was a Fritz 6 or a Deep Fritz. Let's say that after I think Jan. 1999 with the release Fritz 5.32 there were no further Fritz's until Nov. 2001 or so with the release of Fritz 7. It would be called Fritz 6, of course, and let's imagine that this imaginary Fritz 6 is exactly the same as what currently is Fritz 7. Is the increase in strength between Fritz 5.32 and the current Fritz 7 worth nearly three years of waiting? Fritz 5.32 is weaker than Fritz 7, no doubt, but it is still no slouch! The fact that a Fritz 6 and Deep Fritz existed in the time between Fritz 5.32 and Fritz 7 tends to give the illusion that the program is increasing in strength more rapidily than what it is actually doing.
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