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Subject: Re: 90% of (comp losses vs GM) are comp castle kingside (O-O)

Author: Jorge

Date: 07:30:38 05/14/02

Go up one level in this thread


On May 13, 2002 at 21:35:49, Keith Ian Price wrote:

>On May 13, 2002 at 20:45:32, Jonathan Lee wrote:
>
>>On May 13, 2002 at 16:58:59, Rafael Andrist wrote:
>>
>>>Sorry, but this number says nothing about patterns or whatsoever. In most of the
>>>games, comps castle kingside. A little bit more interesting would be:
>>>- % of lost games involving 0-0 by comp.
>>90.9 percent
>>>- % of lost games involving 0-0-0 by comp.
>>9.1 percent
>>No castling by comp - none or zero percent
>>16 games sampled in the 21st century & 6 others = 22 total games
>>Jonathan
>>>
>>>Rafael B. Andrist
>
>I believe he meant the percentage of all games involving 0-0 that were losses,
>i.e. out of 100 games involving 0-0 how many losses, wins and draws. Not the
>percentage of all lost games that involved 0-0. Then compare that to 100 games
>involving 0-0-0.
>
>kp

Yes, I see;
P(comp castles 0-0 GIVEN comp lost)  = .909
P(comp castles 0-0-0 GIVEN comp lost)= .091

If you have the info=> It would be interesting to see P(comp castles 0-0 GIVEN
comp wins), however, n=22 games is rather low.

regards,
jorge







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