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Subject: Re: computer calculations of number of ways to play first 10-ply

Author: Tom Kerrigan

Date: 09:15:54 07/28/98

Go up one level in this thread


Based on the name of this thread, I assumed we were counting the "number of ways
to play first 10-ply" instead of the number of possible positions.

Cheers,
Tom

On July 28, 1998 at 09:34:47, blass uri wrote:

>
>On July 28, 1998 at 09:17:42, Tom Kerrigan wrote:
>
>>I know that the number of 4-ply variations is 206,604 because I use that as a
>>first sign that my move generator is working correctly.
>>
>>The 4th root (the approx. branching factor) of 206,604 is 21.31, so the number
>>of 10 ply variations is ~ 1.931232214271e+13. The real number is probably
>>actually much higher, because mobility for the first few ply is very limited, so
>>the branching factor will generally increase as the game goes on.
>>
>>Assuming this [probably very low] number of positions and the ability to visit
>>1,000,000 positions per second (a pretty good clip...) it would take about 36
>>years to visit all of these positions.
>
>The same position can be reached in more than 1 way so the number of positions
>should be smaller for example if we look in the position after
>a3 a6 b3 b6 c3 c6 d3 d6 e3 e6 white have 120 options to play in another order
>and black has 120 option so the position can be reaced in 120*120=14400
>ways.
>If you have unlimited hash table you can decreae the time by a factor of
>thousands.
>
>Uri
>>
>>In other words, you're not going to get an exact answer anytime soon.
>>
>>Cheers,
>>Tom
>>
>>On July 28, 1998 at 04:17:57, Neil Carlson wrote:
>>
>>>Please forgive a stranger/beginner if I am breaching any rules of etiquette or I
>>>missed something in the archives or FAQ (I did look).
>>>
>>>Can anyone help or suggest a source for information on the following?
>>>
>>>Although computer chess is only effective if the programs focus on the
>>>"sensible" moves to make in a given position, I'm trying to find out if anyone
>>>has looked into the question of the huge numbers of ways to play a chess game -
>>>specifically, the number of ways that the first ten ply (first 20 half-moves)
>>>can be played; or the possible number of move combinations for a whole game
>>>(with some kind of sensible limit - 40 or 60 moves).
>>>
>>>I thought this might be the sort of thing that could have some significance for
>>>computer chess, so someone might have done this or know of someone who has.
>>>
>>>Thanks for your time and attention,
>>>
>>>Neil



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