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Subject: Results of 443 Blitz Games Hiarcs8, various selectivities.

Author: George Sobala

Date: 14:44:33 05/28/02


Here are the results of a large number of Blitz games, trying various
selectivity settings for Hiarcs8.

All matches:

* Hiarcs8 v Gambit Tiger 2.0

* 3' + 2"

* K6-2/450 64Mb

* 6Mb Hash each

* Hiarcs8 using its tournament book, 4 piece tablebases

* Gambit using its own book, ChessPartner GUI

* Auto232, single computer (Win/NT)

* Results audited for duplicates (only two) and incorrectly claimed wins (due to
Auto232 timeouts?) by Chessbase GUI (lots).

Results show scores, ELO difference and 95% confidence intervals.

Conclusion: the default settings gave the best results (Hiarcs8 even won that
match).

Preliminary opening analysis suggests that (against Gambit) Hiarcs8 HATES the
Sicilian both as white [41.8%] and black [28.8%] (especially as black against
B22c The Alappin [13.7%]: 1.e4 c5 2. Nf3 e6 3.c3).

--------------------------------------

Selective=3 6/22 (27.3%)
+3 =6 -13
ELO= -170 (95% CI: -296 to -19)

Selective=4 68/148 (45.9%)
+43 =50 -55
ELO= -28 (95% CI : -82 to +14)

Selective=5 62.5/137 (45.6%)
+40 =45 -52
ELO= -31 (95% CI: -87 to +14)

Selective=6 7.5/22 (34.1%)
+3 =9 -10
ELO= -115 (95% CI: -250 to -2)

Selective=7 59/114 (default setting) (51.8%)
+45 =28 -41
ELO= +12 (95% CI: -40 to +76)

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