Author: Ricardo Gibert
Date: 21:39:24 05/28/02
Go up one level in this thread
On May 29, 2002 at 00:22:01, Ricardo Gibert wrote: >On May 28, 2002 at 23:47:11, Ricardo Gibert wrote: > >>On May 28, 2002 at 22:28:32, Russell Reagan wrote: >> >>>On May 28, 2002 at 17:18:37, J. Wesley Cleveland wrote: >>> >>>>Currently, processor speed and hard disk size are also increasing exponentially. >>>>As long as this continues, we will be able to generate larger and larger >>>>tablebases. >>> >>>If this is the case, then it's obviously growing at a much lower exponential >>>rate, since the 5-man tablebases can be generated in a matter of hours and will >>>fit on almost any new computer's hard drive, and the 6-man tablebase will take >>>several years to complete and will probably not fit on any new computer's hard >>>drive even in a few years when they are completed. >>> >>>So the problem still exists. The rate of growth of the size and space used by >>>the tablebases is increasing at a much higher rate than the speed and storage >>>capacity of computers, so the problem still exists regardless of whether both >>>factors are growing at an exponential rate. >>> >>>Russell >> >>Even though the exponential rates are different the ratios of the rates between >>hard disk space, cpu speed, tablebase size are constants as long as the model of >>exponential growth holds in each case e.g. if item X grows at rate a^t and item >>Y grows at b^t where t is time, then a^t/b^t = a/b = some constant. >> >>You're comparing the time it takes to generate an EGTB on the same hardware when >>the capabilities of hardware actually vary with time in a exponential way for >>the forseeable future. >> >>[J]WC actually made an astute point. > >I would guesstimate it takes about 9 years to advance from the N-man EGTBs to >the (N+1)-man EGTBs for as long as the exponential model holds in all relevant >areas. Actually, 9 years seems low. I'll have to think about it some more.
This page took 0 seconds to execute
Last modified: Thu, 15 Apr 21 08:11:13 -0700
Current Computer Chess Club Forums at Talkchess. This site by Sean Mintz.